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Futures marketgold策略:外盘futures|12month24日美crude oil期货日内策略分析 今日重要财经数据及事件
23:00 U.S.A12Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
The next day05:30 From the United States to12month20Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory(10000 barrels)
美原油消息面:Monday(12month23day)油价小幅上涨,WTI 2Monthly crude oil futures up0.08USD, increase0.13%Report60.52dollar/Bucket. Brent2Monthly crude oil futures up0.25USD, increase0.38%Report66.39dollar/桶。有关科威特希望与沙特阿拉伯达成协议以恢复边境上原油生产的消息,以及美国页岩油生产商加大钻探活动,都限制了油价上涨。根据上周五公布的数据,受对中美贸易停战的乐观情绪影响,在截至12month17日的一周,对冲基金的原油看涨头寸达到七个多月以来的最高水平。
由于投资者对中美贸易局势抱乐观预期,并且石油输出国组织及其盟国达成加大减产的协议,12月份有望成为今年油价表现最佳的月份之一;不过,分析师仍担心明年可能出现供应过剩的局面。道明银行在多伦多的全球大宗商品策略主管Bart MelekIndicating that althoughOPEC减产和需求形势,我们仍然认为涨势过度即使考虑到更好的经济环境,我们仍预计未来两个季度会严重供应过剩。
Wednesday morning05:30The United States will announce to12month20Day and WeekAPI原油库存,若库存数据和预期相差较大,原油在周四开盘或将出现较大波动。
平安夜假期美原油期货隔夜凌晨02:45提前收盘。
美原油技术面:美原油日线上看,布林带开口上行,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a golden cross and flattens to the right,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线呈金叉缓和向右走平红色动能小幅缩量,KDJ三线交死叉向下发散运行,日图行情整体呈现多头趋势;4小时图上,布林带三轨朝右走平,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线初交金叉运行,K线交投于布林中轨一线附近,MACD快慢线呈死叉缓和向右指标呈中性,KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散,油价短线表现一定震荡偏强形态。
综合来看,日内操作上建议低多为主。上方初步阻力在60.7,近一步阻力在61.3; Preliminary support below59.9Further support on59.5。 US crude oil(02合约)交易策略
1Above60.7短线做空,止损0.3, Objective59.9-60.0Nearby;
2Below59.9-60.0Long nearby, stop loss0.4, Objective60.7/61.3Nearby; 阅读须知:投资有风险,交易需谨慎。本分析由期市黄金策略提供,分析仅供参考,不做为下单的最终依据。