12month19日美原油期货日内策略分析

Futures marketgoldStrategy: External drivefutures｜12month19japan-us crude oilFutures intraday strategy analysis
Today's important financial data and events
08:30  Australia11Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
11:00  日本至12month19日央行利率决定、日本至12month19day10Yield target of one-year treasury bonds
15:00  Switzerland11Monthly trade account(Billion Swiss francs)
17:30  britain11Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment
19:00  britain12monthCBIRetail sales difference
20:00  UK to12month19Bank of Japan interest rate decision
21:30  Canada10Monthly wholesale sales rate
21:30  US Q3 Current Account(USD100mn), USA12月费城联储制造业指数、美国至12month14Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week(ten thousand people)
23:00  U.S.A11月谘商会领先指标月率、美国11Annualized total monthly housing sales(10000 households)
23:30  From the United States to12month13Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory(Billion cubic feet)

US crude oil news:Wednesday(12month18day)美油结束了接近两个月以来的最长连续上涨，WTI 1Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.01USD, decline0.02%Report60.93dollar/Barrel; Brent2Monthly crude oil futures up0.07USD, increase0.11%Report66.17dollar/桶。上周美国国内成品油库存激增抵消了原油库存出乎意料的下降。
EIA报告显示，美国上周原油库存减少了110Ten thousand barrels, down to11月初以来的最低水平；上周美国原油出口升至10月以来的最高水平，这导致库存减少；不过，虽然需求反弹，汽油、柴油和取暖油库存却出现增长。CHS hedge的能源市场分析师Tony HeadrickIndicating that due toEIA原油库存下降，与API原油库存大增形成反差，市场反应有些过激。上升趋势来自乐观的需求预期，比如中美贸易协定有能力推升原油需求。
加拿大皇家银行表示，如果贸易进展不能转化为具体的经济增长，油价可能停滞不前。该投行还表示，经济复苏的萌芽将有助于提振市场人气。但对于宏观经济的担忧、石油需求疲软以及生产商对冲，可能继续成为近期油价的不利因素。
Technical aspects of US crude oil:美原油日线上看，布林带三轨朝上开口扩张，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉继续朝上运行，K线于布林上轨一线交投MA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线交金叉上行红色动能逐步放量，KDJ三线呈金叉向右走平，原油整体还是位于多头趋势内；4小时图上，布林带三轨缓和朝上运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉开口上行，KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线呈死叉粘合向右运行红色动能初现，KDJ三线呈金叉向右运行，油价短线有回落风险但整体还是运行于上行趋势内。
Overall, for intraday operations, it is recommended to mainly focus on a pullback and a bullish trend, with initial resistance above61.4Nearby, the resistance in the next step is62.0； Preliminary support below60.4Nearby, further support is provided60.0。
US crude oil（02Contract trading strategy
1Above61.2-61.4Short term short selling, stop loss0.3, Objective60.4Nearby;
2Below60.4-60.6Long nearby, stop loss0.5, Objective61.4/62.0Nearby;
Reading instructions: Investment carries risks, and trading requires caution. This analysis is provided by the Futures Gold Strategy and is for reference only. It is not intended as the final basis for placing orders.

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