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趋势做反了。要么转换思路跟随,要么就离场观望,不可以再行情创一次新高刚停下来时就马上空,再拉再空,一路空,路路空,这就有点带堵的味道了,真正赚钱的人未必是出手次数最多的人,在堵场,呆的时间越久,出手押注的频率越高,输的概率就越大,交易也是一样,涨跌都想做,看似累小成多,但常在海边走,哪有不湿鞋的道理,我的建议就是看准了一次,尽量减少假设性的交易。因为,交易它不是计件的活,盈利与交易的次数没有必然的关联,次数少不一定代表赚的少,把利润留给别人的同时,也把风险留给了别人,这才交易的核心!
隔夜全球市场恐慌情绪大爆发,美国总统特朗普大泼冷水,有关经贸的言论令冒险人气遭到暴击,美股创下2008年以来最差12月开局,美元也遭到抛售,避险货币如日元和瑞郎则获得追捧,与此同时,gold多头终于爆发,接连攻克两大关口至1480上方,涨幅一度超过20美元,本交易日来看,除了继续追踪经贸局势外,还将迎来密集的数据,包括中美欧的服务业PMI,重点关注“小非农”ADP就业表现。
Gold trend analysis:
黄金昨日低位回升收复此前失地,亚盘时段回测1459.50附近启稳整理,欧美盘突破1466高点打开空间走强,美元由于美元指数弱势下挫,提振金价加速上扬,最高至1481.60高位。触及10周线小有停顿修正,最终日图收盘中阳线。
日图长时间整理之后仍旧守住了半年线的支撑,也是此前区间1453-1450的防守位置,此位不失守,周初也没敢过分看空,而是尝试性低位看反弹,昨日反抽走出一波上升空间。日图收盘中阳线,同时收复了1478高位。日图偏涨,不过短线仍要留意昨日的阻力点1482。10周线的阻力仍很关键,今日如果不突破,而是走回马枪,谨防周线走出探高回落的拉锯。而日线的下行趋势线阻力在1493.暂时还没有反转这波下行趋势,只是反弹空间略大,趋势延续待定。
Short line4小时一波低位整理启稳回升,打破了上周的弱势整理区间,同时收复了此前的一个高点。4hourK线结构偏反弹一些,但是均线系统暂时还未完全走成单边多头,上方1482仍存在一定阻力,昨日靠近初步受阻,今日亚欧盘仍旧会轻微承压,看回踩的空间多大,如若回踩后仍能守住1468上方收盘,那么短线多头仍有望进一步上扬,反之则会回归震荡,最近的多空延续趋势有限,反复是常态,短线不得不提防拉锯走法,趋势要结合形态和空间来判断。综合来看,今日操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
Focus on resistance above:1481.86;1486.05;1484.26;
Pay attention to support below:1473.09;1467.04;1459.29;
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Callback1467Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1478-1480;
2Rebound1482Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1472-1470;
3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以翼盟胜鼎(薇-Core: ymsd06)指导实盘为准;
crude oilTrend analysis:
原油昨日下探回升收高,亚盘56.40一线承压,欧美盘前半时段先行回踩55.33低位,下探未能跌破上周五的低点55.0.最终尾盘时段启稳回升收复失地,且刷新了日内高点至56.77.最终日图收盘成阳。日图没能延续破底下行。弱势得不到延续,跟此前回测55.80那波走势极为相似,只是那一次是隔日就快速收复,而这次回测后还处于低位选择整理当中。
Short line4小时二次下探启稳在270单位均线之上,此位的支撑重要性一直强调过,能否延续弱势下行,需要二次跌破且收盘在之下。隔日才能进一步延续空间,否则极容易下探回升走震荡,而昨日终究未能下破,尾盘反弹收复。带动附图MACD指标金叉向上。4小时启稳55.0上方暂时还是震荡思路,今日不排除还会伴随下探回升,但没跌破55.0之前,不宜过分看空。继续观察形态和空间,是在整理拉动指标向下还是启稳回升收复?还需要时间和空间配合。综合来看,今日操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
Focus on resistance above:56.60;57.10;57.54;
Pay attention to support below:55.75;54.85;53.71;
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Rebound57.1Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target55.8-55.6;
2Callback54.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target56.4-56.6;
3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以翼盟胜鼎(薇-Core: ymsd06)指导实盘为准;
————投资黄金,你必须知道的!
1Reasonably control the position. The essence of making money through trading is to make money through compound interest, not through explosive profits. Everyone has different ideas about the model of making money through compound interest, and they can summarize it in practice. Here's a mnemonic for everyone: light storage and small quantity, go with the flow;Little water flows long, little makes many.
2Always bring a stop loss. To combine the stop loss position with one's own position adjustment, and also with one's own operating cycle. If doing a midline operation, the stop loss will be slightly enlarged, generally10-15Point around. Perform short-term operations, average stop loss level4Point around. To divide the invested funds into3One opening trial order, and two additional orders to be added midway. In the specific operation process, it is necessary to use a small amount of funds, make appropriate short-term transfers, and not cover it all at once. We need to combine technical stop loss with financial stop loss.
3、顺势而为,切忌逆势操作。每当市场上演逼空行情或杀多行情都会打爆很多人的帐户。究其原因就是一味地死多或死空,不会灵活应变,顺势调整。而且越错越加码,加死码,幻想有一天价格回头,能够反败为胜。
————黄金投资亏损了该如何去补救!
1Moderate trading
More and more is better than less and more, blindly holding the attitude of "investing more and earning more", cannot closely follow the market when losses occur, and control the quality of doing orders. It's better to keep a detailed trading diary, identify the reasons for failure and success, and make timely adjustments to stop losses. If the losses continue, you need to take a break, build a virtual market in your mind, organize your thoughts, and then verify your point of view. If your investment method really doesn't work, try another one. Read books written by successful individuals and see how they succeed. But pay attention to those so-called investment secrets and successful strategies.
2Familiar with the market
Knowing oneself and the enemy is the key to winning a hundred battles. Gold investors cannot simply pursue technical analysis. The level of understanding of the fundamentals of gold investment can often affect the probability of success in gold investment. At the same time, it can also accurately grasp and compensate for gold losses. Make a detailed transaction diary. If you can keep a trading diary, it will prompt you to trace the source of the investment market, identify clues to failure and success, and make timely adjustments.
3Acting according to plan
Even if there are occasional situations where the plan cannot keep up with changes, it is necessary for gold investors to develop and follow a reasonable investment plan. Blindly entering the gold investment market will only be a lost lamb, letting the market lead by the nose. For medium and long-term investors, there is no need to do it every market. As long as the overall situation is accurately judged and the position at hand conforms to one's own judgment, one can cast a long line to catch big fish.
4Believe in oneself
如果自己都怀疑自己的投资理念,又何来对黄金投资市场的运筹帷幄。一种投资方法没有效果,那就换另外一种,总有适合自己的投资方式。切记识别鱼龙混杂的投资技巧;咨询王金尧及时了解市场资讯,把握大趋势行情助你稳健获利!
5Leaving decisively when making mistakes
When it is clear that making mistakes leads to losses, and the losses continue to expand beyond expectations, perhaps no remedial measures will be taken. The best remedy is to leave as soon as possible. Unfortunately, only a small number of people can achieve this method.
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Yimeng Shengding Analysis Team
Analysis writer: Yimeng Shengding Wei-Core( ymsd06)
Author's message:
A restless heart leads to chaos, and chaos leads to danger. Patience is an essential element for success. May you know me starting with words and matching my personality,Trapped in technology, enduring kindness, and finally having a good character |
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