MBG Markets：欧美制造业良莠分化，美油跳空高开反弹

　　
制造业稍显好转，欧元强势反弹(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar88Individual points, closing up0.53%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5趋于走高，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOnline threadingDEA构金叉，阳柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to57-58Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1095Below support attention1.1030。
　　
Fundamentals:eurozone11Monthly manufacturing industryPMISlightly increase46.9，因信心改善且新订单下滑放缓，该指数高于预期值46.6, but still below50这一荣枯分水岭。欧元区制造业活动上个月升至三个月高点，不过因为该行业仍处于低迷状态，就业岗位继续减少。富国银行：由于经济数据好转，官员缺乏明确信号，加之需要时间让9月份的大规模宽松措施逐步传导至整个经济领域，预计欧洲央行将在明年3月，而不是今年12Monthly interest rate reduction.
　　
油价低位回升，聚焦OPEC+meeting(USOIL)
　　
Technical aspect:WTIcrude oilThe previous trading day's amplitude reached110Individual points, closing up0.39%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，油价贴近布林下轨；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10双线稍趋走平；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to46-47Frontline operation, with a smaller operating slope tending to rise. Attention to resistance above57.10Below support attention55.00。
　　
Fundamentals:继上周五暴跌后，周一两油双双跳空高开，一度涨逾2%。随后因疲软的制造业数据，涨势有所回落。据外媒，两名消息人士称，欧佩克最新分析认为，如果不进行额外减产，原油供应将严重过剩，库存将在2020年上半年增加。因此欧佩克+正讨论深化当前减产协议至少4010000 barrels/日，至少持续至明年六月。但分析表示，影响欧佩克决定的一个关键因素是俄罗斯的态度。俄罗斯能源部周一公布的数据显示，俄罗斯11月石油产量升至1124.410000 barrels/日，这个数字高于俄罗斯与欧佩克及其他产油国协议的额度。
　　
制造业数据萎靡，美元走弱拉低美日(USD/JPY)
　　
Technical aspect:The USD/JPY experienced a significant fluctuation in the previous trading day80Points, closing down0.46%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to53-54一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于走高。上方阻力关注5日均线，下方支撑关注布林中轨。
　　
Fundamentals:U.S.A11monthISMmanufacturingPMIRecorded48.1，低于前值和预期值，已连续第四个月维持在荣枯线下方。美国10月营建支出月率录得-0.8%, significantly lower than the previous value-0.3%And expected values0.4%。多项美国制造业数据大都表现疲软，美联储提振经济的压力依旧。据英国金融时报，美联储正考虑引入一项新规则——“弥补战略”，即在通胀错过目标时短暂地使通胀高于其2%的目标，以避免美国物价增速持续低于其目标。
　　
　　
　　
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