MBG Markets：通胀回暖欧元回升，消息面冲击油价暴跌

　　
GDP数据强劲，加元延续整理(USD/CAD)
　　
Technical aspect:美元兑加元上一交易日震幅达42Points, closing down0.1%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10双线稍趋走平；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较小，势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to59-60一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于走高。上方阻力关注1.3225，下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
　　
Fundamentals:Canada9monthGDP年率报1.6%，优于市场预期1.4%及前值1.3%。加拿大统计局：在商业投资和家庭支出增加的带动下，加拿大第三季度经济年增长率为1.3％；9monthGDPMonthly rate is0.1%，服务业的增长略高于商品的增长；能源和油制品价格走高推动10月工业品物价指数月率增长0.1%。目前来看加拿大经济仍是发达经济体中较为稳健的一个，在面临国际国内逆风因素时，加拿大经济一直保持稳定。GDP数据发布后，美元兑加元短线下挫。
　　
11monthCPI读数回暖，欧美震荡微涨(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar47Individual points, closing up0.08%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin middle track tends to decline, and the exchange rate is close to the Bolin lower track; Daily lineMA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5稍趋走平；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to42-43Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1060Below support attention1.0990。
　　
Fundamentals:eurozone11monthCPI年率初值报1%，优于市场预期0.9%及前值0.7%. Eurozone11Monthly CoreCPI年率初值报1.5%，优于预期1.3%及前值1.2%。分项数据显示，尽管能源成本大幅下降，但食品和服务价格出现上涨。占欧元区GDP三分之二以上的服务业价格同比上涨1.9%, higher than10Of the month1.5%。此外，欧元区10月份失业率降至7.5%，保持2008year7月以来的最低水平。欧元区数据出现显著回暖迹象。
　　
欧佩克减产陷困局，油价单日崩跌(USOIL)
　　
Technical aspect:WTIcrude oilThe previous trading day's amplitude reached315Points, closing down4.60%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，汇价贴近布林下轨；日线MA5,10,20三线趋黏合，MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to43-44一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于走高。上方阻力关注56.87Below support attention54.75。
　　
Fundamentals:在上周最后一交易日的崩跌后，油价出现近两个月来最大的周跌幅。据悉，有迹象表明，欧佩克其他原油生产国不愿在下周会议决定加大减产力度。知情人士透露，沙特可能会表示，不愿意再接受欧佩克其他成员国超额生产。同时有分析人士指出，欧佩克与俄罗斯之间可能存在摩擦。消息传出时正值美国感恩节假期期间，能源交易员出于对全球贸易局势的担忧，正在采取预防措施，部分交易商正在退出石油市场，假期效应进一步放大了消息面冲击下的油价波动。
　　
　　
　　
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