12month2Intraday strategy for US Japan crude oil futures

Futures marketgoldStrategy: External drivefutures｜12month2japan-us crude oilFutures intraday strategy analysis
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[li]09:45  China11Yuecai New Manufacturing IndustryPMIFinal value[/li][li]15:30  Switzerland10Monthly actual retail sales annual rate[/li][li]16:50  France11Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value[/li][li]16:55  Germany11Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value[/li][li]17:00  eurozone11Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value[/li][li]17:30  britain11Monthly manufacturing industryPMI[/li][li]22:45  U.S.A11monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value[/li][li]23:00  U.S.A10月营建支出月率、美国11monthISMmanufacturingPMI[/li]

US crude oil news:Last Friday(11month29day)油价创9month17日以来最大跌幅，美油最深跌幅达到5.32%；布油最深跌逾4%。截止收盘，布伦特原油期货收跌1.44USD, decline2.25%Report62.43dollar/Barrel;WTI 1Monthly crude oil futures closed lower2.94USD, decline5.06%Report55.17dollar/桶。因有迹象显示OPEC+下周开会时不愿加大减产力度；美国能源信息署（EIA）公布的月度报告称，美国9月原油日产量从8Of1239.7万桶升至创纪录的1246万桶，也令油价承压。
有分析师指出，由于感恩节假期后期货交易清淡，成交量低于正常水准，这一情况可能增加了价格大幅波动的可能性，且月度原油合约接近尾声，交易商倾向于平仓。CMC Market分析师认为，能源交易员出于对全球贸易局势的担忧，正在采取预防措施，部分交易商正在退出石油市场，也影响了原油行情的走势。
本周的欧佩克大会是油市一年两度的盛世，加之上周市场的减产预期曾出现剧烈波动，本周的大会及油价会怎么发展显得扑朔迷离。除了欧佩克大会带来的不确定性，美国原油的相关数据和全球经贸形势的新进展也值得关注。据国际能源署上周公布的数据显示，美国9月原油产量上升至创纪录的124610000 barrels/Day.
Technical aspects of US crude oil:美原油日线上看，布林带缩口微幅朝下运行，MA5/MA10均线拐头下行转为死叉，KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA40Near the moving average,MACD快慢线交死叉下行绿色动能逐步放量，KDJ三线呈死叉向下发散运行，日线上来看行情表现一定的偏空形态；4小时图上，布林带大幅开口运行，MA5AndMA10The moving average intersects with a strong downward trend,KThe line intersects below the Bollinger track,MACD快慢线呈死叉开口向下，绿色动能大幅放量，KDJ三线呈死叉向右走平，油价短线行情偏空，大跌后有一定的反弹势能。
综合来看，日内操作上建议反弹高空为主。上方初步阻力在56.90，近一步阻力在57.50； Preliminary support below55.60Further support on55.00。
US crude oil（01Contract trading strategy
1Above56.9附近短线做空，止损0.5, Objective55.6-55.7Nearby;
2Below55.6-55.7Long nearby, stop loss0.3, Objective56.4/56.9Nearby;
Reading instructions: Investment carries risks, and trading requires caution. This analysis is provided by the Futures Gold Strategy and is for reference only. It is not intended as the final basis for placing orders.

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