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beautifulcrude oilMessage surface:
美东时间周一,截止收盘,WTI 12Monthly crude oilfuturesClosing down0.67USD, decline1.16%Report57.05dollar/Bucket. Brent1Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.86USD, decline1.36%Report62.44dollar/Bucket.
According to the US Energy Information Administration(EIA)预计,美国页岩油产区12月石油产量将增长大约4.910000 barrels/日,至产油913.310000 barrels/Day.
International Energy Agency (IEA)在月度报告中表示,供应充足的市场和高库存压低了油价,这种情况可能会持续到2020年,因为非OPEC国家将大幅提高产量。IEAExpected, to2020年,美国、巴西、挪威和圭亚那的石油日产量将增加230万桶,几乎是全球石油需求增幅的两倍。IEA可能对石油需求过于乐观。经合组织能源顾问预计,由于燃油效率的提高和电动汽车数量的增加,全球石油需求增长将从2025年开始放缓,但IEA认为,未来20年内不太可能达到峰值。然而,能源强度的下降和电动汽车的普及速度快于预期,可能会导致石油需求提前见顶,全球汽油需求预计会下降。
不过,乐观的贝克休斯美国每周钻机数支撑油价进一步走高。美国油服公司贝克休斯(BakerHughes)The latest data shows that as of11month15During the current week, the number of active oil wells in the United States decreased10Seat to674座,连续四周录得下滑;美国石油和天然气活跃钻井总数减少11Seat to806座;天然气活跃钻井数减少1Seat to129Seat.
减产方面,石油输出国组织(OPEC)Last Thursday(11month14day)表示,预期全球石油需求2020年将会下降。投资者预期,OPECAnd Russia and other nonOPEC国家将维持现行的减产政策。OPEC+Will be on12月初在维也纳召开会议,讨论产业政策。但一位知情人士周一表示,俄罗斯11月份将其石油产量提高至1124.610000 barrels/日,未达到全球产量协议中的产量目标。
美原油日内操作建议:(01Contract)
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break57.8-58.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target57.0-57.2frontline;
2The downward correction of crude oil does not break56.2-56.4Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target57.2-57.4frontline;
文章内容纯属作者个人观点,不做下单建议,具体行情以盘中趋势为准,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。