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Zhang Benxin11.13黄金原油最新走势分析策略,后市如何布局

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Why do you always fail to grasp whether the market is skyrocketing, plummeting, unilateral or fluctuating? Is it the so-called "buy and fall", "cut and fall", "cut and rise", "chase and chase", "chase and trap", "cut and cut". It's like a dead cycle, ultimately leading to a continuous shrinkage of funds. If you are in such a dead cycle, please stop and think carefully, summarize your experience and lessons, and then get ready to go. Before everything is too late, Benxin hopes you will think deeply!


  ------Message surface


Tuesday(11month12day)纽市尾盘,受美.国总.统有关贸.易谈.判的言论刺激,现货gold走高,盘中一度收复1460美元关口,刷新日高至1460.5dollar/盎司,较日低回升近15美元;贸易谈判隐忧挥之不去,美股回落、美债收益率下滑,提振了黄金避险需求。


  空头能否继续表现强势,还取决于晚间美国众议院对总统的弹劾调查听证会,以及美联储主席鲍维尔的讲话,而对于这两个消息,我最担心的是前者,毕竟目前美国国内反对川普的声音越来越大,这无疑会提高黄金再次借助避险进行一波上涨动作的概率;至于后者,我认为随着贸易局势的缓和,各方面经济数据逐渐回暖,鲍维尔要么是保持10月利率决议中的态度,要么是释放鹰派语调,换言之就是打压黄金。如果两个重磅消息符合我的分析预期,那么黄金在有弱势基调的情况下,大概率会出现先冲高后回落的走势。


  ------Gold trend analysis



  技术面来看,尽管昨日金价出现了一波探低回升动作,且日线录得一根小阳,但依旧没有改变短期均线向下延伸的事实,而随着新低的刷新,目前短期均线分别于1457and1475保持着下行形态,其它各周期指标跟随维持空头排列,布林带整体也继续向下运行,由此可见空头仍属于优势方,不过,需要注意的是,当前sto双线已经于超卖区结成金叉,一旦突破20轴,再配合RSI指标有意向上拐头的形态,必将给予多头充足的上行势能,所以,日线整体看空的同时,也有必要提防多头进行反弹动作。


Gold from4小时来看,金价暂自低位小幅反弹,MACD红色能量柱显著,KDJThe random indicator moderately rises, indicating that the short-term decline of gold is temporarily delayed and may rebound in the future; First of all, when we look at gold, the opening of the Bollinger zone continues to extend downwards until it breaks the Bollinger zone, causing bullish gold bulls to repeatedly fail and react. However, the US President's overnight barrage caused gold to hit the bottom and rebound15Up to USD1460After the first line, it began to fluctuate and retreat, so it is clear that gold bulls still need more data and guidance from the news surface to revive, although currently breaking through5、10Moving average, but still subject to20Daily moving average1460压制。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上张本鑫个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1463-1465Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1446-1450Frontline support.


Suggestions for Gold Operations:


  1,1459-1460First line light position short and long, stop loss1456On the target1465-1470region


  2,上方见到1465-1470区域择机做空,止损1475Look at the target below1458-1456First line, break through and look again1450area


  ------crude oilTrend analysis



  原油继续维持在宽幅震荡,区间(57.5-56.2大一点57.8-55.8);从形态来看,原油经历大涨后在高位扩张形成三角震荡,高位的震荡往往预示修复之前上涨行情,价格回撤的可能性最大,从日内走势来看,原油依托低点56.5震荡上涨,晚间最高触及57.5附近一线,短期上涨结构没有发生变化,上方重点关注57.5-57.8一线压力,空单依托58.2/3做位防守点,多单则依托55.7做位防守点入场。最近的原油没有重大事件,在EIA前区间不破我们继续保持前面思路就好了,高空低多。本鑫建议上方关注57.5压力以及多空关键节点57.8的突破情况.下方短期关注支撑56.5-56.2-55.7.


Suggestions for crude oil operation:


  1、55.8-55.6Stop loss0.4Points, target56.8-57.0.


  2、57.0-56.8Stop loss0.4Points, target55.5-55.3.


  千万人的港口一杯酒的挽留、数万人的等待一句话的突破,就算疲惫不堪还要继续拥抱明天,你不能做我的客,正如我不能做你的师,今日的执着,会造成明日的后悔。有人为抓住的行情庆祝,有人为做错行情懊悔。你在,我在,你不在,我还在!


May you and I start with words and match our personalities,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.

Wen/Zhang Benxin (official WeChat account)ttdxyna6)
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