汉声金业：黄金止跌转涨，重新站上4000！

上周五晚现货gold止跌转涨再度站上4000美元关口上方，最高至4023.82dollar/Ounces, final settlement4013.22dollar/盎司，收涨0.93%

today(Monday)现货黄金开盘4003.21dollar/Ounces, minimum3982.65dollar/盎司，早盘金价震荡上涨最高至4028.50dollar/ounce! In the morning, the Shanghai Gold Exchange showed that873.76element/Ke, the Han Sheng Gold Investment Platform of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange is displayed on4022dollar/Running around ounces.

上周金价大幅下跌再度失守4000美元大关，上周金价跌至近一个月低位区域运行

according toCME“美联储观察”最新数据显示，美联储7The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is85.6%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is14.4%。 美联储到9The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is41.4%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is51.2%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is7.5%。

U.S.A7月消费者信心指数升至五个月来的最高水平，但信心指数较一年前下降了12%。鉴于中东地区冲突重燃推高了汽油价格，这一改善可能只是暂时的。如果近期汽油价格的下跌趋势继续逆转，这种信心回升的势头可能难以维持。

美伊局势方面，美国与伊朗展开一系列报复性攻击，美军方宣布，过去两天内第三名美军人员死亡。特朗普此前警告伊朗若杀害美国军人将面临更强烈回应，如今美军连续出现死亡。

美伊双方打击目标已不再局限于军事设施，而是扩大到桥梁、公用设施和港口设施。伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊在上周六的声明中警告，美国将受到刻骨铭心的教训。以色列国防部长卡茨警告德黑兰，如果以色列遭到攻击，将重新介入冲突。伊朗官方称，目前霍尔木兹海峡的通航量已降至零，只要美国继续其挑衅行为，该海峡将保持关闭。

Short term intraday trading advice:

Let's first look at the gold price3980-4035区间震荡运行，如突破该区间时上行目标看4042-4055, or4065Nearby; The downward target is3975-3970, or3960Near.

Attached is the gold trend chart:

文章来源香港黄金交易所·汉声集团官网以及汉声金业APP摘取整理后发表，转载著明来源。

Kind reminder: The gold market fluctuates greatly, and there are risks involved in investment. Please make cautious decisions within your own risk tolerance range.