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euro/美元可能反弹

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欧元在前一交易日遭受重创后,于11month6日(星期三)上午出现轻微下跌。
周二,欧元/美元在整个交易日内都有走低趋势,接近1.1070-1.1080区间,因市场预期华盛顿和北京可能在不久的将来正式签署一项临时贸易协议。在关键宏观数据方面,欧元区9monthPPIYear-on-year increase0.1%,与预期相符,环比下降1.2%,上月环比下降0.8%
U.S.A9月份的贸易逆差总额为525亿美元,正如分析师预计的那样,8月份的贸易逆差从549亿美元上调至550USD100mnISMNon manufacturing index from9Of the month52.6Ascend to10Of the month54.7,分析师预测为53.5
在其他市场发展方面,达拉斯联邦储备银行总裁罗伯特·卡普兰(Robert Kaplan)昨日在讲话中指出,美联储目前的货币政策与美国的经济状况相对应。此外,里士满联储(Richmond Fed)主席巴金(Thomas Barkin)指出,美国私营部门看起来很强大,而且继续支出,从而支撑了经济。
今天,建议投资者关注德国和欧元区服务业PMI。我们预计10月份前者将达到51.2,后者将达到51.8。第三季度劳动生产率在美国之外美联储官员(约翰威廉姆斯和查尔斯埃文斯)预定发表演讲。
4小时图表显示,欧元/美元继续在1.1063-1.1179的水平区间内。交易随机线处于买入端,处于超卖区域,因此我们预计这对线将停止下跌。
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