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Whether it's yesterday's market, today's market, or tomorrow's market; The observer continues to observe, the worried continue to worry, the afraid continue to fear, and the profitable continue to make money; Any current situation is testing our psychological resilience, and any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest, survival of the fittest, one thinks, two does, three succeeds, one waits, two looks, three falls; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!
资讯解读:gold为什么会暴涨?
1.ADP释放信号市场情绪交织担忧——昨晚的ADP报告除了公布9月新增数据之外,8月新增也从前值19.5万下调至15.7万,揭示ADP市场新增劳动力放缓。就业市场已经开始出现下滑的迹象,过去三个月平均岗位增加为14.5万,去年同期为21.4万。尽管隔夜的ISMmanufacturingPMI表现也令美元多头遭遇抛售,认为日内ADP的表现重现昨日一幕,使得美元小幅下滑,但市场仍等待周五非农这一更具象征意义的报告,以求劳动力市场上的综合表现。
2.头寸的释放——昨晚ADP公布前美元就略处于超买的状态,但价格交投于2018year9月以来的上行趋势线上方,然而今年以来多头也已经7次跌破该趋势线支撑,若日内美元跌破99.05一线,则或进一步跌向98.40这一中部区域。继黄金周一大跌37美元后,周二金价兑现了死猫跳的反弹,超卖的金市恰在寻找上修的机会;
3.美朝对话前朝鲜自海上发布一枚弹道导弹——周三据韩国军队方面消息,朝鲜在即将开启10month4日美朝预备接触,5日工作层磋商前自海上发布一枚弹道导弹,暗示在对话前其将是三年来首次测试水下发射导弹的一举。日本方面迅速提出抗议,指出导弹落在其特别的经济区域内,如果确认,这将是首个朝鲜导弹自2017year11月以来降落的最接近日本的一项。在本周美朝对话前的这一举动,也令黄金市场提前部署买盘需求,推升了日内金价的走高。
【现货黄金、伦敦金走势分析】
金价强劲攀升冲破1500关口,疲弱的美国数据和全球经济放缓的担忧支撑金价;周三(10month2day)纽约时段盘中,现货金价延续上日以来的强劲势头,站上1492关口。刚刚美国民间机构ADP公布的就业数据表现不及预期关注工纵好“富常波”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、中线布局计划一份,加之市场对全球经济放缓的忧虑进一步加深,英国硬脱欧的忧虑等,金价延续震荡上升势头;美国民间就业机构ADP周三发布的有“小非农”之称的美国9monthADP就业人数新增13.5Ten thousand people, expected increase14Ten thousand people, the previous value was an increase19.5万人;美国对美联储的干预投资者也不能忽视,周二在推特上说,“正如我所预料的,美联储主席和美联储允许美元如此强势,这使得我们的制造业正在遭受不利影响。联邦基金利率太高了”
昨日黄金上演了惊天的触底反弹,先是早盘从1475就开始了一波较大幅度的回撤,最低更是触及1459一线,但是美盘在美国的言论刺激下,美指直接暴跌,50亿买盘进场,金价一波20多美金的上涨诞生了,从情绪上来讲,怎么说也应该存在一个反弹了。而对于反弹的力度,我也是没有能想到美盘会直接上涨到1496.技术面看,隔夜黄金的探底回升收阳线,理智点看待并不代表空头趋势的彻底结束,虽然一根阳线还不足以支撑趋势的反转,但是昨日的反弹已是确认底部,短期内恐不会再去下探,后面就是看行情能否收稳在1500上方,届时多头将势必上演王者归来,在此之前我们以震荡对待;今日行情关注上方1508-1513One line of resistance, pay attention below1491-1486一线支撑。操作上多空一起上。(行情千变万化,点位仅供参考,详情关注常波本人官||Wei:fcb3925)
Golden Plan:
Active Attack: Suggestion1491进多 Stop loss1486 target1500
Passive counterattack: suggestions1508不破进空 Stop loss1513 target1500
提示:今日市场需关注欧洲地区和美国将公布服务业PMI数据,以及美国当周初请失业金和非制造业PMIdata
【国际crude oil、美原油走势分析】
周三原油价格跌至近两个月来的最低水平,美油创8month8Recently, it has reached a new low52.17dollar/桶,因在悲观和疲软的经济背景之下,全球最大经济体的原油库存激增进一步打击了市场人气。根据美国能源信息管理局公布的数据,上周美国原油库存增加了310万桶,超过了分析师的预期中值,也是5月份以来的最大增幅;欧美股市普遍下跌,强化了对美国经济放缓的担忧,也加剧了油价跌势。
日线级别:单边下跌;MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉,后市下行风险仍存,下破52.84附近关键支撑,该位置是布林线下轨和9month3日低点的双重支撑位,会进一步跌向8Monthly low point50.52附近。布林线轻微开口,但KDJ已经运行在超卖区域,油价短线也存在一些反弹机会,5Daily moving average resistance54.67附近,若能收复该位置,则削弱断下看空信号。
四小时来看,四小时图上,五连阴下跌,在触及日内低位后,紧接着收得一根小阴十字星再转阳反弹上涨,当前布林带即将开口,MAThe moving average is arranged in short positions,KDJ指标到达超卖区,三线向上弯钩,MACD指标底背离,快慢线死叉平行向下,就目前来看,油价短期内有反弹需求,但反弹力度不大,下行风险依在。今日行情关注上方53.8-54.3One line of resistance, pay attention below52.1-51.6一线支撑,操作上多空一起上。若有不懂或跟不上操作的朋友可关注常波(微信:fcb3925),获取更多实时喊单指导。
Crude oil plan:
Active Attack: Suggestion52.1不破再多 Stop loss51.6 target52.8-53.1
Passive counterattack: suggestions53.8不破进空 Stop loss54.3 target53.2
放不过机遇,就躲不过风险,看大方向赚大钱,看小方向赚小钱,看不对方向就花钱。买进靠耐心,卖出靠决心,休息靠信心,不要妄想在最低价买进,于最高价卖出,除非你跟着常波,像昨天一样就可以做到!只要面对行情比别人多冷静一分,便能在市中场脱颖而出;There is actually no good or bad distinction in the game of long and short, just because one is afraid that they will change their mind and have ulterior motives after entering the game!Every transaction is like learning to swim. If you don't sink or float in the river a few times, you won't learn anything;If you miss a good opportunity to enter, forget about it and don't worry about not doing it at a certain point last year every day!Only with no distractions can one accommodate a hundred rivers!
没有不成功的投资,只有不成功的操作。对原油/gold/白银等贵金属投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友,欢迎关注‘富常波公众号获取每日行情走势分析,交易策略指导;如果有套.Single lock.单的朋友,请及时联系本人微信号:fcb3925, for you to understand.Single solution.Lock.
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