鹰声提振美指走高，瑞银看好英镑后市

　　
约翰逊不排除再次休会可能，英镑隔夜承压下行(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达78Points, closing down0.29%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5Tending towards a downward trend; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to55-56一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方关注1.2580First line, follow below1.2310。
　　
Fundamentals:英国工党领袖科尔宾：将在无协议脱欧风险消失后对不信任动议进行投票；首要任务是确保首相约翰逊寻求推迟脱欧，一旦确认可避免无协议脱欧，工党将希望举行大选。据市场消息，英国首相约翰逊不排除再一次暂停议会的可能；政府或希望议会休会“一小段时间”，以使得女王演讲能在10month14日进行。瑞银：约翰逊在10月中旬前与欧盟达成协议的可能相当渺茫，认为英国政府将被迫延后“脱欧”期限并进行大选；基于上述情景，预计英镑兑美元汇率短期内能重回1.25to1.29USD range.
　　
美元重返升势，欧元被动承压(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar79Points, closing down0.55%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，汇价贴近布林下轨；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10The double track tends to decline; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to37-38一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方阻力关注1.1025Below support attention1.0925。
　　
Fundamentals:美联储芝加哥联储主席埃文斯称，美国前景仍然相当好，全球经济增速正在放缓；预计美国经济增速将在2-2.5%之间。希望有一个足够大的资产负债表；如果有必要，可以讨论在利率方面采取更多措施，但个人的利率预测不包括再次降息；美联储的政策仍是“有一点儿宽松的”。埃文斯发言后，美元指数持续走高。欧洲央行执委劳腾施莱格昨日辞去在委员会的职务，将从10month31日起生效，在辞职声明中并未给出其辞职理由。劳腾施莱格为欧洲央行决策层中少有的鹰派，其卸任将使鹰派观点在欧央行中更为式微。
　　
gold回踩关键支撑，ETF逆势大幅增持(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达347Points, closing down1.65%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于下行，金价隔夜一度上破中轨后回落，收于中轨下方；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to50-51一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。黄金昨日回踩关键趋势线支撑后企稳，印证趋势支撑有效性。上方阻力关注1535，下方支撑关注趋势线位置。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌6.39%, closing on15.96； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌3.35%, closing on18.18；全球最大的黄金ETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto9month26日增持16.42吨黄金，持仓量增至924.94吨。渣打银行贵金属分析师称，市场对对一系列负面消息的担忧、政治不确定性给股市带来的压力，以及美国公债收益率的小幅回落，将使黄金作为避险资产得到提振。
　　
　　
　　
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