MBG Markets：三重利好助推英镑，黄金白银再现深跌

　　
三重利好助力，英镑隔夜大涨(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The GBP/USD experienced a significant fluctuation in the previous trading day152Individual points, closing up0.5%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to58-59Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.2400Below support attention1.2220。
　　
Fundamentals:britain7monthGDPMonthly rate recorded0.3%，优于市场预期0.1%及前值0%，经济回升程度高于预期，打破了此前有关英国可能迎来经济衰退的忧虑情绪。7Monthly manufacturing output rate0.3%，创下自今年1月以来最大升幅。英国首相约翰逊昨日讲话称：英国没有也绝不会在爱尔兰边境设置检查；英国能熬过无协议脱欧，但这将是一次失败；相信能在10month18日达成协议。约翰逊口风转变，市场对无协议脱欧的担忧情绪骤降。英国央行委员弗利葛：利率或将在数年内维持在较低水平。弗利葛的发言进一步消解了英央行加息的可能。
　　
降息预期接近充分加价，美元回踩趋势支撑(DXY)
　　
Technical aspect:美元指数上一交易日震幅达37Points, closing down0.15%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5Tending towards a downward trend; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to54-55一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。汇价当前回踩趋势线支撑企稳，上方阻力关注99.20，下方支撑关注趋势线位置。
　　
Fundamentals:美银美林：短期内建议卖出美元，并在下周美联储FOMC会议期间买入美元。惠誉：自今年7月美联储降息以来，全球下行风险的加剧似乎使得美国更有可能在2019year12月再降息25个基点，随后预计到2020年美联储都会按兵不动。据CMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate reduction25Bps to1.75%-2.00%的概率为93.5%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is6.5%。市场基本已对美联储在9Interest rate reduction at monthly meetings25个基点充分计价。
　　
goldETF再现流出，贵金属延续跌势(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达199Points, closing down0.64%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)Tending to open up, the Bollinger track tends to decline, and gold prices continue to be under pressure below the track; Daily lineMA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to42-43一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方阻力看1520位置，下方支撑关注1477frontline.
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收涨1.80%, closing on15.27； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌2.57%, closing on17.41岁。全球最大的黄金ETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto9month10Daily reduction of holdings7.33吨黄金，连续第二度减持，持仓量缩减至882.42Tons.Kitcoto9month6日发布的每周黄金调查显示：15位市场专业人士参与了调查，其中9People or60%认为黄金将会上涨；3People or20%认为金价将会下跌；参与在线调查的普通投资者有1164People, among which58%认为本周黄金将上涨。
　　
　　
　　
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