MBG Markets：非农报告打压美指，加拿大强劲就业拉升加元

　　
非农报告释放担忧，美指连续震荡整理(DXY)
　　
Technical aspect:美元指数上一交易日震幅达34Individual points, closing up0.01%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行，汇价连续第二个交易日回踩布林中轨后，收于中轨上方；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFF线黏合DEA势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to56-57一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。后市依然以布林中轨为关键的多空分水岭，上方关注99.20Location.
　　
Fundamentals:U.S.A8Record of non agricultural employment population after seasonal adjustment13万人，逊于预期15.8万及前值16.4万；机构评论称，美国8月非农就业报告中，私营领域就业人数显著不及预期，今年至今，私营领域创造的就业岗位是过去6年来最少的；8月非农就业报告反映出经济放缓，招聘速度减缓。数据发布后，纽约联储Nowcast模型预计美国第三季度GDPThe growth rate is1.55%，此前预测为1.8%；预计美国第四季度GDPThe growth rate is1.08%, previously expected to be1.57%。美联储主席鲍威尔：经济前景面临非常显著的风险；美联储将采取适当行动维持经济扩张；各国央行的政策刺激空间将普遍减少。鲍威尔发言期间，美股转跌，美元指数上行。
　　
就业报告强劲，加元领涨商品货币(USD/CAD)
　　
Technical aspect:美元兑加元上一交易日震幅达77Points, closing down0.45%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于下行，汇价于布林下轨下方极端超卖位置运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to37-38Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above5日均线位置，下方支撑关注1.3140。
　　
Fundamentals:Canada8月就业人数报8.11万人，其中，全职就业人数2.38万，兼职就业人数5.72万。评论认为加拿大8月就业报告完全扭转了此前几个月的疲软，过去一年整体来看加拿大就业人数增长了2.5%，这是过去的扩张中未曾实现的数字。加拿大央行此前已经释放了明确的信号，他们不急于降息，而这份就业报告增强了这一立场。就业报告发布后，加元走强，带动商品货币全面上行。加拿大8monthIveyAfter seasonal adjustmentPMIRecorded60.6，显著优于前值54.2。
　　
市场风险偏好情绪回暖，金价隔夜冲高回落(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached49Points, closing down0.13%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)Tending to open up, the Bollinger track tends to decline, and gold prices continue to be under pressure below the track; Daily lineMA5,10构死叉，MA5,10双线趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to49-50Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1522Below support attention1492。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌7.81%, closing on15.00； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌2.88%, closing on17.87。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto9month6Daily reduction of holdings6.15吨黄金，持仓量缩减至889.75吨。近期市场风险情绪显著转暖，主要股市普涨，金银等传统避险资产持续走低（但主要金融机构仍看好黄金后市潜力）。
　　
　　
　　
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