MBG Markets：避险退潮金银暴跌，强劲数据难阻美指回调

　　
脱欧风险消退，英镑延续反弹(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达144Individual points, closing up0.64%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOnline threadingDEA构金叉，阳柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to59-60Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.2375Below support attention1.2200。
　　
Fundamentals:英国首相约翰逊逐渐失去对脱欧局势的控制。反叛的保守党议员更有可能通过立法，将无协议脱欧选项彻底从谈判桌上拿掉，而这正是市场所希望的看见的场景。英国工党领袖科尔宾将与敌对政党于周五会晤，商讨如何阻止无协议脱欧。瑞银称：如果英国延迟脱欧，并在10月后举行大选，英镑兑美元GBP/USD可能涨至1.30；如果英国与欧盟达成脱欧协议，预计英镑兑美元将涨至1.35。
　　
经济数据走强，美指震荡微跌(DXY)
　　
Technical aspect:美元指数上一交易日震幅达48Points, closing down0.02%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFF线黏合DEA势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to56-57Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above99.20Below support attention98.50。
　　
Fundamentals:U.S.A8monthADPEmployment records19.5万人，远优于市场预期及前值，录得2019year4月以来新高。当前劳动力市场雇佣速度走缓，但解雇人数也保持在低位。贸易局势影响了商业信心和制造业，但对劳动力市场影响较小。机构观点认为，只要这一情况继续保持，预计不会出现经济衰退。劳动力市场表现强劲可以通过促进消费者支出支撑经济。美国至9month1日当周彭博消费者信心指数报63.4，升至五周高位，金融信心指数升至2000year1月以来次高水平。
　　
风险情绪回归，贵金属隔夜重挫(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached454Points, closing down2.11%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行，金价击穿布林中轨下行；日线MA5,10双线趋黏合，MA5,10双线趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to52-53一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力看1566位置，下方支撑关注布林中轨得失。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌6.12%, closing on16.27； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌7.40%, closing on18.40。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto9month6Daily reduction of holdings6.15吨黄金，净持仓量增至889.75吨。市场避险情绪稍有退潮，全球股市冲高，致使黄金、白银自高位回落。法兴银行即将退出LME黄金白银合约做市商行列，LME黄金白银合约的交易活跃度或将显著下降。
　　
　　
　　
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