Nie Xinyan:6.5午评原油最新走势分析

Message surface:


Monday in the United StatesWTIcrude oilfall drastically65dollar/桶关口，日内跌幅扩大至1.43%Created by4month10日以来新低。此前，WTI原油自去年9For the first time since the beginning of the month, it has fallen below100日均移动线。布伦特原油日内跌幅一度扩大至2.06%Current report75.39dollar/桶。本周关于页岩油产量创纪录高位、俄罗斯和沙特暗示增产等负面消息持续笼罩着油市。分析师纷纷表示，短期内对油价难以提起兴趣。


整体还是趋弱发展，此前油价连续大跌后形成明显的空头格局，虽然价格连破低点且维持在低点，但我们并没有因此看到有止跌或底部迹象的出现，此时去抢多或抄底显得极不理性，顺势而为才是交易之本，昨日盘触低后反弹，势能力度均不强。


Technical analysis of crude oil:


原油从目前的日线来看当前布林带呈下行趋势放量运行，k线运行在中下轨下方。在上个交易日中原油最高运行至66附近，下方最低运行至64.58附近，于64.7附近收盘，最终收取了一根较长的实体阴柱体k线形态。当前均线指标呈空头势能向下放量运行。MACD绿色动能柱开始放量，快慢线死叉向下放量运行。RSIandKDJ呈空头态势向下放量运行。从四小时来看当前布林带呈开口向下的态势放量运行，k线运行在下轨下方。当前均线指标呈空头势能持续向下放量运行。MACD绿色动能持续向下运行零轴下方的死叉形成向下发散放量。RSIandKDJ呈空头趋势处于低位向下放量，J线在多次放量钝化后，向上运行，三线欲交底部金叉。从小时线来看当前布林带呈下行趋势，ma均线向上拐头相交ma10Moving average,k线运行在下轨上方。MACD下行势能稍有减弱。快慢线底部相交，平行向右运行，KDJ在底部金叉向上运行发散放量。综合来看，欣妍日内原油在短期内的操作上，还是重点关注66.0附近多空分水岭。操作上建议反弹做空为主。短线上方关注66First line pressure, following below64.0一线支撑，破位看63.5Gateway.


Suggestions for crude oil operation:


1Suggest using65.8-66.0Consider short selling and stop losing near the US dollar0.3Points, target65.3-64.6Near the US dollar;


2Suggest using64.1-64.3Consider going long near the US dollar and stopping losses0.3Points, target64.8-65.6Around the US dollar.

High quality platform:

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writing/Nie Xinyan  VX：xin19878