Sincerely open:5.24美联储纪要略显鸽派，晚间黄金原油操作建议

SimpleKLine


But it contains traces of game theory


Following the trace of operation


Find the direction of the trend


And grasp the direction


And seize the future

Message analysis:


　　周四凌晨公布的美联储会议纪要显示，多数委员倾向于“很快加息”。不过，部分委员表示将容忍通胀在一定时间内超过目标，这被市场解读为鸽派信号。美元一度跌破94Gateway,gold一度拉升约5USD.


　　经济方面：在5月政策声明中，若美联储将此举作为回应diyi季度经济数据放缓的反应，那么料不会对加息产生影响。若会议纪要显示委员会担忧经济前景恶化，美元恐将承压。


　　通胀方面：市场普遍将“对称”解读为美联储暗示可容忍通胀超过2%的目标。若美联储仍称致力于将通胀保持在2%的目标水平，美元将持续走高；若美联储强调将会容忍通胀加快上升，并不急于加息，美元或将承压。


Gold market analysis:


Gold4小时周期处于震荡走势中，从前期1365以来的下跌来看行情仍然在下行结构中，目前仅仅是五浪下跌结束后的反弹，不排除出现七浪的下跌，但是在1326以来的下跌走势中黄金已经结束空头进入多头结构中，反弹的概率相对较大。形态上1281附近收出小V型反转后昨日晚间再收早晨之星看涨，而在诚至金开的角度上来看，大阳线的力度非常强势。均线上中短期均线粘合后发散往上，短期线这两天一直运行于中期线上方，而中期线25MA也同样是从下跌转变为上升，短线看涨的愿望较为强烈。


On indicatorsKDJ再次选择从高位回落，无法确认方向但可以确定多头力度未放松，MACD上快线慢线持续上攻，动能柱再次衰退后增强，多头仍然在延续。总体上黄金的走势虽然未能出现强烈的上涨趋势，但是可以明显的看到与前期1300支撑上方的震荡一般，美元创出新高同样不能阻止黄金走反弹，1326以来的下跌趋势突破之后操作上理论就得逢低做多，加上指标的随从，诚至金开认为日内仍然可以继续保持看反弹的思路不变，但是因为美元的打压所以需要依托25MA做多上看，而近期的震荡走势在没有破位前，继续保持震荡的思路对待。黄金低位盘整蓄力，后市有望再度冲击千三关口，操作上诚至金开建议继续低多思路布局。上方关注1298The first line of resistance, pay attention to below1287的一线支撑。

　　crude oilMarket analysis:


　　原油周线，日线的多头走势结构不变，短线原油日线下行测试10均线一线支撑，短线重点关注，同时4小时当前下行测试70reach72.85of61.8%Location, i.e71.1一线位置，重点关注此位置一线的得失，诚至金开预计短期内原油将会在区间71.1-72区间震荡偏强震荡的概率大。原油4小时图上，布林带三轨朝上缩口运行，MA5Under the moving averageMA10Moving average cross dead cross downward,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Below the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴速度交死叉下行绿色动能逐步放量，KDJ三线交死叉强势向下发散运行，油价短线偏向震荡。所以目前暂时维持区间操作为主，上方关注72.3-72.5One line of resistance, pay attention below71.2-71.0Frontline support.


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US crude oil: fixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.02USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Silver: Fixed margin400USD in one hand/5000Ounces, fluctuating0.010USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss20USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


US Gold: Estimated Margin400USD in one hand/100Ounces, fluctuating0.2USD return, fluctuating0.1USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Natural gas: Fixed margin400USD in one hand/10000mmBtuFluctuation0.·002USD return, fluctuating0.001USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.