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WhygoldA sharp drop? Is there still a glimmer of hope for bulls
Federal Reserve Board member and renowned hawkish figure Mester delivered a speech today, stating that he supports the Fed's gradual interest rate hikes and does not believe that inflation will sharply rise. Mester expects inflation to reach the Federal Reserve on a sustainable basis in the next one to two years2%The goal.
Mester said that the US economy is still slightly above full employment levels, and the uncertainty of US trade policies may lead to companies changing their spending plans in the near future. At the same time, the impact of US tax cuts and government spending on the economy remains uncertain, and it is estimated that the longer-term nominal federal funds rate level will be3%. Mester believes that it is time for the Federal Reserve to assess whether it needs to adjust the current monetary policy framework. Mester's speech showed some hawkishness, but still did not signal four interest rate hikes this year. If the Federal Reserve continues to maintain its view of gradual interest rate hikes, it is expected to exert pressure on gold, and there is a certain downside risk in the long run.
Gold Market Analysis
黄金昨日继续收阴,短线1322Significant obstruction nearby, causing a decline in the US market1313Sort out on the front line, with two consecutive bearish days on the daily chart. This is a short-term trend that leans towards bearish sentiment, but it cannot be seen as a complete change in the market. It is normal for the market to fluctuate back and forth. We should pay attention to the next development, and based on the current weekly chart, there is a good opportunity to explore this week1305/1303This area, and now the first thing to pay attention to is1311The defensive situation on the front line has been mentioned in the analysis last week and yesterday. Once the upward movement is blocked, it is basically necessary to retest the downward support and confirm its effectiveness before attacking again. If it continues to fall below, further exploration will be conducted. So for gold, we still treat the development and changes of the market objectively, and unless a break signal appears, we will continue to test the volatility. High resistance remains a concern for intraday trading1322Nearby, short-term resistance1316Frontline, short support1311Key defensive areas1305-1303.

Golden Operation Strategy
Suggestions1310Long nearby, stop loss4USD, target1318-1320.
Suggestions1315Short nearby, stop loss4USD, target1310-1307.
策略仅供参考,具体的进场点位更多操作建议严亿鑫会根据实盘变化给出.
crude oilYesterday, it fell and rebounded, closing higher. The Asian market was tested first70.20Supporting a stable rebound, the European and American trading session did not fall below the Asian low point and continued to decline, ultimately reaching a rebound in the late trading session71.20After reaching a high point, it fluctuated and ended, and the daily chart closed higher.
Analysis of crude oil market:
日图中阳未延续连阴形态,使得日图的调整结构仍有待确认。关注今天的转换。昨天虽收在高位,但还没有完全收复前期高点。仍存在探高不破高的回落风险,结合周线的上影线。回补影线不破高,容易形成转换回落。当然大趋势看涨不变。短线回调只是小周期修正。日线继续等待今日的阴阳争夺。
4Yesterday, the bottom of the Bollinger Bands was supported by the downward trend. The rebound oscillates near the mid track. Today's opening is still operating at the mid track level. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are closing in parallel. In the process of high-level oscillation correction, from a spatial perspective. At present, there is not much room for adjustment. Still in the midst of a strong consolidation transition. Just a slowdown in the upward trend. At a high pause stage. Still following above71.5071.90The suppression of high points. Do not aggressively recover high points, temporarily do not chase high in the short term, wait for appropriate correction and correction before entering. If you are more aggressive, you should first hold light positions and short positions below the previous high to see a pullback, while if you are conservative, you should wait for a pullback and go long at a low level. pressure71.10brace69.90

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
Suggested crude oil71.1Try short orders near the front line, stop loss71.5frontline. target70.5-70.2frontline.
Suggested crude oil70Go long near the front line. stop loss69.6Frontline, goal71-71.5frontline,
Yesterday's market situation was beyond many people's expectations. Although there was no fluctuation during the day, how could there be a sharp drop in the early morning? This is also why Yan Yixin often says that it is best not to hold positions overnight, because he is afraid that when these unexpected situations arise, you are resting and have no way to react, and when you wake up in the morning, you will see the situation where the order is trapped.
Currently, most of my friends are probably in1318There are many oversights in the vicinity, after all, the market was generally bullish yesterday,1318It is also a support position that many people are optimistic about. I believe there are many friends who place long orders at this point, and those who are trapped are basically those who do not like to bring stop loss.
For your order, since you haven't stopped loss and exited, it's important to continue holding onto it while controlling the risk. Currently, there are signs of a bottoming out in gold at the daily level, but confirmation is needed at the daily level. Once the signal is clear, it's recommended that you rebound to the appropriate point and exit your long order.

If you want to solve the problem, Yan Yixin tells you not to waste time searching online for strategies that have only one solution. Friends who need to solve the problem can directly consult me or Baidu Yan Yixin. After all, solving the problem requires providing a specific and real-time solution based on your funds, position, position risk rate, and market trends. Although you are not doing single bedding with me, as you aimlessly search for articles and teachers in the market, when will you reach the end? Can you find the teacher who instantly satisfies you?Impossible, it will take time, but your order and market cannot wait that long. Time is like flowing water, fleeting. Seize the moment and do not be tempted by greed. Being able to solve a problem is your greatest wish.
Yan Yixin (Official WeChat:mengxian909 Official account:yyx15656)Proficient in applying wave theoryKBands, Bollinger BandsMACDAnalyzing and predicting market trends. Proficient in using various technical indicators, thus forming a unique risk control system and trading system. If you need psychological guidance, investment plans, are interested in investing in precious metals such as crude oil and gold but have no idea where to start, or have friends who are already in contact but not ideal, and want to keep up with the stable market layout, please follow "Yan Yixin".
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