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本周五将迎来非农数据的公布,对大级别的数据我们不能有丝毫的含糊。比如非农数据,议息消息,还有一些不可抗力,突发的基本面。比如“通俄门”事件,比如空袭叙利亚,比如欧央行突然释放的货币政策信号等等。这些基本面,以及数据就要去考虑他本身的延续度。不考虑延续度,做行情根本就是无从下手。在周五美国公布第一季度GDP初值报告喜忧参半,美元指数经历连续大涨后在关键技术阻力位92受阻。美元这两周以来的突然飙升累计大量盈利头寸,而临近周末导致一些美元多头结利平仓。因此技术阻力和多头平仓都可能给美元带来短线压力,gold周五美盘反弹最高触及1325一线,收盘于1323.2并没有走出大幅的回落,相反有企稳1320的迹象。在当前美元进一步走强受阻之际黄金重新站上该水平,短线面临继续反弹修正的风险。
10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds touched3%重要心理关口,美国GDP数据优于预期,助力美元大幅攀升,创下年内最佳单周表现。而金价则惨遭“滑铁卢”,延续上周下跌趋势。本周,市场需要聚焦美联储货币政策会议以及美国非农报告等重磅事件,届时,将对黄金市场产生重要影响。那么本周建议多关注非农,小非农数据的影响。
此外今日重点关注:澳大利亚至5month1日澳洲联储利率决定、英国4Monthly manufacturing industryPMIUK3Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit(ten thousand people)、加拿大2monthGDPMonthly rate, USA4monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI终值、美国4monthISMmanufacturingPMI, USA3月营建支出月率。
Suggestions for Gold Operations: 1、反弹不过1320Short on the front line, stop loss1325, Objective1312-1308 2Touching below1307Long on the front line, stop loss1302, Objective1320-1325 crude oilMarket analysis:
原油日线收上下影,昨日早盘受压68.2回撤,下探67.1支撑反弹,日线3次测试67.1支撑反抽,原油不破67.1,多头趋势不变。同时基本面有消息报道称伊朗一直在隐瞒研发核武器,这一讲话引发了市场对美国重新对伊朗实施制裁的猜测,并可能进一步导致中东局势紧张化的担忧,基本面与技术面吻合,借势走强,最高到达69.3一线,昨日的思路很清晰,早盘68.2一线做空,随后午盘强调,不破67.1支撑看反弹力度,力度超过预期,美盘68.2空单获利没出小损出局,今日关注67.0-69.0区间修复。操作上回调多为主,高空辅助,上方关注69/69.3Suppress, follow below68.0-68.2Support. Suggestions for crude oil operation: retracement 68.2Nearby Stop loss0.4 target68.7/69 rebound68.9Nearby Empty Stop loss0.3 target68.5/68.3
Yan Yixin (Official WeChat:mengxian909 Official account:yyx15656)Proficient in applying wave theoryKBands, Bollinger BandsMACDAnalyzing and predicting market trends. Proficient in using various technical indicators, thus forming a unique risk control system and trading system. If you need psychological guidance, investment plans, are interested in investing in precious metals such as crude oil and gold but have no idea where to start, or have friends who are already in contact but not ideal, and want to keep up with the stable market layout, please follow "Yan Yixin".