金石生财分析周一黄金延续下跌的原因,首先盘中美元指数自上周止跌反弹重拾升势之后,周一受到美国良好的经济数据的提振继续保持强劲涨势。美元反弹打压金价走跌。其次,周一市场避险情绪极少,对避险资产黄金形成较大的压力。再次,周一公布的强劲数据还提振了美债收益率。美债收益率的上扬提高了持有黄金的机会成本,黄金作为无息资产是没有利息收入的,若债券收益率走高,黄金将会不再受到青睐。不过有问题的通胀对黄金这种硬资产来说也是看涨因素。然而,目前世界范围内的通胀水平还没有成为问题。最后,周一基础金属终止了上周的涨势,对黄金的支撑不再。美国财政部表示美国将暂停对俄铝的制裁至10月,并正在考虑俄铝结束制裁的申请。消息公布后周一LME铝直线跳水,大跌超10%, refresh4month16日以来新低,创十三年来最大单日跌幅,现报2247dollar/吨。综合来看,4大利空齐聚,黄金价格承压走跌。
[Gold and stone generate wealth--周二黄金技术分析及操作策略]
黄金技术面上看,周五金价跌破日线布林带中轨支撑之后,支撑转为阻力压制金价反弹,且因朝鲜局势缓解,黄金价格早盘跳空低开,亚盘小幅回升回补缺口之后便再度下跌失守1330关口;金价目前已跌破1330关口,已跌破关键支撑位1335.40dollar/盎司,走势转空,下一步将考验1320and1310支撑,若这两关失守,金价将会对考验1300大关。日线图上金价持于布林带中下轨之间运行,布林带有勾头向下运行的迹象;且5Rihe10日均线已经死叉向下;日线上黄金短期趋势继续看跌。短线4小时图上看,金价下跌跌破了前期低点1307-1320的趋势线支撑,且布林带开口向下运行,均线空头排列;综合来看,黄金短期走势继续看跌,操作上反弹做空为主,短期阻力位置看1328Around the US dollar.
Golden Strategy:1328-30Empty, stop loss1334, Objective1320Nearby;
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[Gold and stone generate wealth--4month23日交易回顾:两单获利8.5美金美金]
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