Crossing the Sea 2017year10month25day (Gold)

Crossing the Sea

2017

year

10

month

25

day

  
Focus this week:
10month25day(Wednesday)
Last week in the United StatesMBAMortgage Market Index
Last week in the United StatesMBAMortgage Refinancing Index
U.S.A9Monthly rate of durable goods orders
U.S.A9Monthly rate of durable goods orders deducted from transportation
U.S.A9Monthly deduction of durable goods orders for national defense
U.S.A9Monthly deduction of non defense capital financial orders for aircraft
U.S.A8Federal Housing Finance Bureau(FHFA)房屋价格
U.S.A9Monthly sales of new houses

10month26day(Thursday)
U.S.A9Monthly Building Permit Revision
U.S.A9Initial value of monthly commodity trade balance
U.S.A9Initial monthly wholesale inventory rate
Number of weekly initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States
Four week average in the United States
Number of Americans reapplying for unemployment benefits
U.S.A9Monthly Housing Pending Sales Index
U.S.A9Monthly sales rate of completed houses to be completed

10month27day(Friday)
Season 3 in the United StatesGDPInitial value of month on month annual rate
美国第三季最终销售初值
美国第三季消费者支出初值
Season 3 in the United StatesGDP平减指数初值
US Season 3 CorePCE物价指数初值
Season 3 in the United StatesPCE物价指数初值
U.S.A10Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month



Important economic data released today:  
16：30 UK Q3 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Initial value of quarterly rate‧forecast+0.3%‧Previous value+0.3%
16：30 UK Q3 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Annual rate initial value‧forecast+1.4%‧Previous value+1.5%
16：30 britain9monthUK FINANCENumber of approved mortgage loans‧Previous value41.807Thousand pieces
19：00 Last week in the United StatesMBAMortgage Market Index‧Previous value419.7
19：00 Last week in the United StatesMBAMortgage Refinancing Index‧Previous value1,399.6
20：30 U.S.A9Monthly rate of durable goods orders‧forecast+1.0%‧Previous value+2.0%
20：30 U.S.A9Monthly rate of durable goods orders deducted from transportation‧forecast+0.5%‧Previous value+0.5%
20：30 U.S.A9Monthly deduction of durable goods orders for national defense‧Previous value+2.5%
20：30 U.S.A9Monthly deduction of non defense capital financial orders for aircraft‧forecast+0.5%‧Previous value+1.1%
21：00 U.S.A8Federal Housing Finance Bureau(FHFA)Monthly rate of housing prices‧Previous value+0.2%
21：00 U.S.A8Federal Housing Finance Bureau(FHFA)Annual rate of housing prices‧Previous value+6.3%
22：00 U.S.A9Monthly New Home Sales Annual Rate‧forecast55.510000 households‧Previous value56.010000 households
22：00 U.S.A9月新屋销售月率‧forecast-0.9%‧Previous value-3.4%
22：00 加拿大央行利率决定‧forecast1.00%‧Previous value1.00%



News of the Week
Richmond Federal Reserve Bank10The monthly comprehensive manufacturing index is positive12
U.S.A10monthMARKITComprehensive Purchasing Manager Index(PMI)The initial value is55.7
U.S.A10monthMARKITCIPS services PMI (PMI)The initial value is55.9
U.S.A10monthMARKITManufacturing Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)The initial value is54.5Touching1The highest since the beginning of the month



10month24day
LondongoldMorning order price:1278.30
London gold afternoon fixing price:1276.45


Today's Introduction
特朗普在参议院力推减税案，两名共和党议员对其猛烈抨击

美国总统特朗普周二争取参议院对其减税计划的支持，强调帮助企业和中产阶级的必要性。但两位资深共和党参议员对他进行异乎寻常的直接抨击，则令会议阴云笼罩。在特朗普与共和党参议员进行一场闭门午餐会议后，共和党参议员JohnCornyn对记者表示，特朗普在会中表示，希望确保税改计划囊括对中产阶级减税，富人则不需要在减税方面提供帮助。众议院议长莱恩称，希望众议院在11month23日美国感恩节假期前通过共和党的减税议案。



XAU London Gold - 税改预期提振美元，金价走势承压

金价周三下滑，因美元走坚而承压，市场仍在揣测美国联邦储备理事会(FED)主席大位将花落谁家。美国总统特朗普周二借与参议院共和党人共进午餐的机会，征询了他们对下任美联储主席人选的意见。一位知情人士说，特朗普询问这些共和党人士他们倾向斯坦福大学经济学家泰勒，还是由现任美联储理事鲍威尔(JeromePowell)出任主席，与会参议员中有较多人支持由泰勒担任主席。两位共和党参议员指责特朗普损害了美国的政治和国际地位，这可能给他的立法议程带来麻烦。

伦敦黄金方面，投资者为下任美国联邦储备理事会(FED)主席提前出炉的可能性做准备，如果任命立场较强硬的候选人接任美联储主席一职，将提振美元。技术图表所见，4Tianhe9天平均线呈现利淡交叉，短期金价或仍处于承压。当前关键位置为100天平均线，上周的三日低位亦刚好止步于此区之上，目前100The balance moving average is at1275水平，需警剔若明确跌破此区，金价或会展开新一轮下跌。下延支持预估在1267To the extent that1256，关键料为250Balance moving average1243美元。阻力则会回看1291and1300美元关口，较大阻力料为1320USD.

London Gold10month25day
Predicting early wave amplitude:1266 – 1278
Resistance level:1289 – 1300
Support bit:1255 – 1237

SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
10month2Day -859.33ton
10month3Day -854.30ton
10month5Day -851.06ton
10month6Day -854.02ton
10month9Day -858.45ton
10month10Day -858.45ton
10month11Day -858.45ton
10month12Day -858.45ton
10month13Day -853.13ton
10month16Day -853.13ton
10month17Day -853.13ton
10month18Day -853.13ton
10month19Day -853.13ton
10month20Day -853.13ton
10month23Day -853.13ton
10month24Day -853.13ton

12Monthly goldfuturesDue date:12month27day
12Monthly goldoptionDue date:11month27day

Global Official Gold Reserve:
(Data source: World Gold Council(WGC), updated on2017year9month8day)

Global:33421.4ton
U.S.A(1)：8133.5ton
Germany(2)：3374.1ton
IMF(3)：2814.0ton
Italy(4)：2451.8ton
France(5)：2435.9ton
China(6)：1842.6ton
Russia(7)：1729.4ton
Switzerland(8)：1040.0ton
Japan(9)：765.2ton
Netherlands(10)：612.5ton

European Central Bank(12)：504.8ton
britain(17)：310.3ton
Hong Kong(92)：2.1ton



XAG London Silver - 银价横盘待变

伦敦白银方面，近月白银处于横盘走势，并依循于100天平均线获得支撑，目前100The balance moving average is located at16.84美元，若然跌破此区，银价或会开展跌势，以黄金比率计算，50%and61.8%的回调为16.53and16.14美元，较大支持可参考15.70。上方阻力料为17.30and17.60美元，下一级看至18.00USD.

London Silver10month25day
Predicting early wave amplitude:16.60 – 17.30
Resistance level:17.60 – 18.00
Support bit:16.30 – 15.70

iShares Silver TrustSilver holdings:
10month9Day - 10167.69ton
10month10Day - 10167.69ton
10month11Day - 10132.44ton
10month12Day - 10132.44ton
10month13Day - 10132.44ton
10month16Day - 10023.77ton
10month17Day - 10023.77ton
10month18Day - 10023.77ton
10month19Day - 9994.39ton
10month20Day - 9994.39ton
10month23Day - 9962.09ton
10month24Day - 9962.09ton


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Emperor Financial Group Zongheng Huihai Analysis Department
(The above column content is the author's personal professional opinions and is sincerely for readers' reference; I would like to remind readers that financial market volatility is unpredictable and they must be cautious of risks)