Vantage FX万致：英镑兑美元10month26Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

　Industrial Investment:
　　周三英国数据显示，英国第三季度GDP季率初值为0.4%Expected to be0.3%;年率初值符合预期为1.5%。良好的数据提振了市场对英央行有望在未来几个月内加息的信心，英镑短线飙涨逾150点，刷新一周高位1.3273, received at1.3270。此外，当日还有消息报道，英国脱欧大臣戴维斯在讲话中表示，过渡框架将会在明年第一季度通过，没有达成脱欧协议的概率非常小。该消息也利好英镑。今日投资者除了关注欧央行决议之外，还可继续关注有关英国脱欧的最新消息以及英国10monthCBI零售销售差值。
　　技术上，日图隔夜一根大阳烛冲破20Daily moving average(1.32frontline)，企稳于该水平上方将有持续反弹的动能。4小时图汇价依旧维持在1.3090-1.3300区间整理，但目前反弹至区间顶部附近，若上破有望进一步上行。1Hour chart1.3120附近强势拉升至1.3250上方，短期上行动能较猛烈。日内建议可于1.3245Short positions in nearby light positions.
　　丰业银行：
　　上日英国公布的数据显示第3quarterGDPrise0.4%，略高于市场预期0.3%. In addition,GDP年率与预期1.5%相符，与第二季度的数据持平，但季率优于预期则足以令市场参与者相信英国央行11月升息更有可能。英镑/美元的短期技术面趋于看涨，该汇价短期走势强劲，脱离此前低点，该汇价已经突破40Daily moving average1.3260，实现看涨反转。
Dahua Bank:
GBP/美元：中性，料将交投于1.3025/1.3230区间内。尽管英镑昨日低位1.3114位于我们的1.3025/1.3230盘整区间之内，但跌势之迅速加之疲弱日线收于使得初步压力偏于下行。下行动能仅开始加速，当前的短期疲态有延续跌势至本月初低位1.3025/30低位的空间。当前阶段，持续跌破这一水平的几率不高。整体上，除非其能收复1.3230(小型阻力位于1.3175)，否则未来数日英镑料将继续承压。
　　Vantage FX万致观点：
　　GBP/USD：

英国第三季度国内生产总值增长

0.4%，好于调查预估的增长0.3%。英国三季度经济意外加速增长使得英央行加息预期升温。英镑昨日强势反弹，目前汇价站上1.3200之上，动能指标较强，操作上1.3200之上逢低做多为主。

Upper pressure

1.3300, lower support1.3200。

　　Event discussion:

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Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

20:30U.S.A9Monthly wholesale inventory(Monthly rate)+0.9%Waiting
20:30Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States after last week's quarterly adjustment(ten thousand people)(to1021)22.223.5Waiting
20:30Four week average of initial jobless claims in the United States after last week's quarterly adjustment(ten thousand people)(to1021)24.82Waiting
21:45Bloomberg Consumer Confidence Index for the Week in the United States(to1022)51.1Waiting
22:00U.S.A9monthNAR季调后成屋签约销售指数(Monthly rate)-2.6%+0.3%Waiting
22:00U.S.A9monthNAR季调后成屋签约销售指数106.3Waiting
22:30Last week in the United StatesEIAChanges in natural gas inventory(Billion cubic feet)(to1020)510650Waiting
23:00U.S.A10Kansas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Output Index for the Month+22WaitingLearn moreforeign exchange交易知识点！外汇保证金_Foreign exchange margin trading_外汇保证金是什么（www.vantagefx.com.cn/jiaoyirumen/x17083101）
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