陈况明：10.12crude oilEIA分析，重点！

There is no destined defeat, only a process of not working hard. Standing at the crossroads of the game, how many people are always confused? The worst thing is not that there is no opportunity to trade, but that they do not recognize opportunities. The most troublesome thing is not waiting for positions to be held, but to carry out mistakes to the end. Every day, the market is playing the same script, just different protagonists and supporting role. There is no pity for the weak, only rewards the strong.

goldanalysis:

Federal Reserve9月会议纪要公布，显示内部对年内再次加息存在疑虑，不及市场预期的那么鹰派，美元指数连续第四个交易日下跌。上一交易日（10month11日，周三）美元指数震荡下跌进一步扩大跌幅，已经连续第四个交易日下跌。美联储9月货币政策会议纪要的公布并未给美元带来支撑，市场对于鹰派的期待值过高，美联储内部对于年底加息仍存在一定疑虑，这使得美元指数短线将可能跌向92.5。

日线图进一步收阳，并且刚好收在中轨附近，今天早盘开盘就有站稳迹象。经过昨日技术面的整理蓄势。带动短期均线拐头向上支撑金价走反弹。短线上破中轨并站稳。多头在加强量能。

图为黄金的4小时图，从图上来看，价格在昨日上演了V型行情，先回踩前期平台1284而后再反弹至1290附近。今天价格延续涨势，那么一段时间的下降楔形上轨突破后企稳，按照突破一倍空间来看，黄金挑战1300关口是必然的。

分析师策略：

短线：建议见1289--1291Multiple orders, stop loss1285, Objective1300

中线：上周1272多单上移止损至进场点位继续持有等待放大利润。

crude oilanalysis:

Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)最新月报显示，全球油市明年对该组织原油需求将达到330610000 barrels/日，较之前预期提升了2310000 barrels/日，同时减产执行率仍处于高位，这位油价带来了有效支撑。昨日原油下跌50.60略作修正盘整V反重回高点51.3.

早间公布APIexpect-180, published value310大利空，原油短线下挫0.3stay51关口附近盘整，数据值数较大，而影响波幅不大，表现了油市的强劲支撑，仍不足以进行深幅下跌动力，晚间EIA关注先跌后涨或者直接拉涨。下方支撑50.8、50.5Upper pressure51.4、51.8

分析师策略：

50.70--50.80Long, stop loss50.40.target51.70

EIA数据单布局线下给出