GBP USD9month26Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

　　瑞讯银行：
GBP/美元在近期上涨之后正在上行。即时阻力位于9month20Daily high1.3657。强劲支撑位于8month24Daily low1.2774。预计短期内将继续上涨整固。长期看来，技术模式正在逆转。英国脱欧公投为进一步下跌铺平了道路。长期支撑位于7month10Daily low1.1841。长期阻力位于1.35水平附近，并将预示着长期消极趋势的反转。不过目前看来不太可能发生。
Dahua Bank:
GBP/美元：看涨，进一步走强几率降低。尽管周四的强劲反弹给英镑带来不祥之兆，但我们仍认为其突破主要周线趋势线阻力1.3655的几率已经降低。话虽如此，只有明确跌至1.3440下方才表明始于两周前的看涨阶段已经完结。与此同时，未来一两日英镑料将继续在1.3440to1.3655区间之内盘整，随后再“决定”升高还是下跌。
　　巴克莱资本：
Tuesday(9month26day)巴克莱资本(Barclays Capital)foreign exchange策略研究团队撰文指出，英国首相特雷莎·梅上周在意大利佛罗伦萨发表演讲后，第四轮英国脱欧谈判将令英镑面临进一步的下跌风险。该行认为英镑风险偏于下行，因英国脱欧立场在议会达成一致共识依然很难。鉴于此，巴克莱资本指出，于9month24-27日举行的英国工党会议将可以令市场评估英国政府立场的转变。
　　Vantage FX万致观点：
　　GBP/USD：美元反弹施压英镑，昨日英镑冲高后回落，，目前汇价位于1.3500下方，短线动能指标转空，操作上延续高空思路。

Upper pressure

1.3520, lower support1.3430。

Event discussion:

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Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

19:45Last week in the United StatesICSC-Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales(Compared to last week)(to0923)+0.1%Waiting
19:45Last week in the United StatesICSC-Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales(the annual rate)(to0923)+2.6%Waiting
20:55Last week's Red Book commercial retail sales in the United States(the annual rate)(to0923)+3.6%Waiting
21:00U.S.A7monthS&amp/CS10Housing price index in major cities(the annual rate)+4.93%Waiting
22:00U.S.A8Monthly sales of new houses(Annualized monthly rate)-9.4%+3.3%Waiting
22:00U.S.A8Annualized total monthly sales of new homes(10000 households)57.159.0Waiting
22:00U.S.A9Monthly Conference Chamber Consumer Confidence Index122.9120Waiting
22:00U.S.A9Monthly Consultation Chamber Consumer Status Index151.2Waiting
22:00U.S.A9Monthly Richmond Fed Service Industry Income Index22Waiting