Xiao Yufan:8.10早评避险情绪高涨 Analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil and operational suggestions

　　goldMessage surface parsing:
　　
　　朝鲜近期接连试射导弹，并且有媒体报道称，朝鲜现在已经具备了制造可装上弹道导弹的小型化核武器的能力。对此美国总统特朗普周三发出可能对朝鲜金正恩政权施以“烈火与雷霆”的警告。而朝鲜也不甘示弱，朝鲜人民军发言人发布声明称，他们正在研究瞄准关岛周围发射中程导弹，朝鲜半岛紧张局势迅速升温。市场避险需求大增。投资者出逃股市，买入避险的瑞郎、公债和黄金。欧股美股普跌，道指在结束连续九日收创新高后连续第二日收跌，盘中“恐慌指数”VIX创逾一个月新高。
　　


Gold trend analysis:

　　

　　近期由于地缘政治局势的影响，黄金扭转非农空头趋势一路攀升，目前从黄金日线上来看，KThe line is supported by the middle track line of the Bollinger Bands below, and two positive bars are recorded, indicating the current rebound strength. The Bollinger Bands continue to maintain an upward trend, and the fast and slow lines on the indicator move upward with a golden cross,MACDRed kinetic energy column reduction, short-term4On the hourly chart, gold broke through the suppression of the previous downward trend line in the evening and also broke through the previous high point1270On the front line, the bearish trend is coming to an end, and it is expected to further rise in the future. Currently, based on indicators, gold is operating on the upper track of the Bollinger BandsRSITurn the head upwards from a high position,StochThe high dead cross of the indicator means that gold is facing a short-term pullback, but the magnitude of the pullback will not be too deep. Stepping back is giving the opportunity to go long, from the perspective of indicatorsRSIHigh position turning head downwards,StochThe indicator has a high dead cross, and gold has closed negative at a high level. The short-term is facing adjustment, and after the adjustment, continue to go long and look up. Pay attention to the upper level1285First line pressure level, follow below1268First line support position.
　　


Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Suggest a fallback1268-1270Long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1276-1278一线，破位持有；　
　　2Suggestions1280Short selling is possible due to obstacles on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1272-1270Below.


　　
　　crude oilMessage surface parsing:
　　
WednesdayEIA数据出现到市场上，原油并没有就此给出太大的反应，北京时间周三（8month9Day and evening22:30United States Energy Information Administration（EIA）Published as of8month4Decrease in inventory of crude oil depot during the current week645.1Ten thousand barrels, continuous6The weekly record showed a decline, with the decrease far exceeding expectations272Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease152.7万桶。不过，因汽油库存和库欣库存意外大增，且本土48州原油产量升至新周期高点，数据公布后，日内因美朝之间紧张态势加剧而涨近1%的油价在短线震荡后下挫。
　　


Analysis of crude oil trend:

　　

　　日线来看，油价一直在8month1日的收得的大阴柱1/2位以下受阻震荡，已经是持续了6个交易日，说明上方49.80附近的压力巨大，震荡区间越来越小，若是后市打破了这个震荡行情，油价会将会走暴涨或是暴跌的单边行情。技术指标5Daily moving average and10日均线交叉，还没有给出明确的金叉、死叉信号，附图MACD指标快线有下穿慢线迹象，红色能量柱缩量，KDJ指标死叉运行完好，四小时图来看，油价也是处于一个震荡行情，布林三线收口，均线粘合，附图的MACD指标快慢线亦是位于零轴附近粘合，整体形态上类似三角形整理。肖宇梵建议高空低多为主。
　　


Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Above49.6-49.8Short selling, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target49.0附近；　
　　2Below48.8-49.0Long, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target49.6Near.
　　

Text: Xiao Yufan Author's Innovationxyf9996