Chu Moyu:8.7亚盘依然利空，黄金走势分析及操作建议

Chu Moyu:8.7亚盘依然利空，goldTrend analysis and operational suggestions


Message: Investment is an art of personal thinking and market communication. From analyzing the market to establishing investment plans, there has never been a definite thing. Whether it is fundamental analysis or technical analysis, it can only analyze a probability of market changes. Each method has its strengths and weaknesses. The method of completely accurately predicting the market did not exist before and will never be found in the future. Analysis is the process of searching for high probability events in uncertain markets, capturing key variables among numerous influencing factors, and analyzing the market. The process of analyzing the market is the process of investors communicating with the market with their own thoughts and perspectives. The results of communication determine how investors make decisions and the effectiveness of their decisions.


——Market Review——


　　非农数据显示，劳动力市场持续收紧；这将为9月缩减资产负债表铺平道路。同时，12月份加息预期较非农数据公布前明显增强。而对于黄金来说，就影响来看，缩表的影响显然比加息的影响更大，如果美联储在9月选择缩减资产负债表，必然要做好金价跳水的准备，但如果美联储选择加息，那么回顾前几次加息前后的行情，那么可以大致预测到黄金会下跌到什么程度，可以提前做好准备。未来一个月美联储表态至关重要，决定金价突破还是反转。


　　上周黄金整体呈现震荡走低的态势，周线收大阴线，结束了周线三连阳，其实在周一到周四一直是走一个震荡，最低跌落1256然后迅速反弹，上方1274压制也是不断的试探，总的来看一直都是在区间，等待非农来临，非农也是很给力，没有让人失望，数据利空直接下跌14美元。跌到下方1255支撑住。


　　目前从周线图上看，结束了三连阳后收阴，这也是受非农数据影响，下方最低触及周线布林中轨支撑1255，这也是下周需要关注的多空分水岭位置，当前报收的阴线并没有对前一周期阳线形成吞没，所以空单也只是受数据短暂影响，暂时还不足以改变大趋势多头！


——Analysis of Gold Trends and Operational Suggestions——


　　黄金行情分析；


　　从目前盘面来看，黄金上方压制还是很强的，小时图布林带目前向下开口发散，黄金在周初还会延续震荡回调。目前行情带动技术面偏向空头趋势，上方1260、1262一线顶底转换为阻力位，下方关注1254支撑力度，破位我们顺势操作。综合来看，整体操作思路上墨玉周一亚盘延续回落看空思路，回调空间和力度重点关注它的强弱。


　　黄金操作策略；


　　1Suggest rebounding to1260-1262Short range, stop loss3USD, target1255


　　2Suggest falling back to1254Long nearby, stop loss3USD, Stable Target1260Radical goals1262


　　3,Suggestions above2713-12附近做单，止损0USD, target964。