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Capital Fengshi-黎万旗:冲关之前仍需回踩调整蓄势

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周三,早盘两市双双低开,沪指在银行,券商板块的推动下两次冲击3300点后回落,创业板指数低开低走下行,盘中小幅反弹,翻红后便再度回落,上证50指数早盘低开高走,继续强势震荡创新高。

盘面上,券商股屡屡异动,第一创业(002797)大幅拉升,带动证券股接力反弹,江阴银行领涨,带动银行板块拉升,方大炭素(600516)今日复牌,再度冲击涨停,带动资源股持续走强。马钢股份和凌钢股份大涨,带动钢铁股拉升;中国铝业(601600)涨停,带动有色金属板块涨幅居前,周期股全面反弹。

昨日收评观点认为沪指存在调整要求谨防诱多,今日沪指果然冲高回落留下长长上影线,短期见顶信号较为明显。虽然沪指今日盘中创出2016年以来新高,但整体走势有强弩之末的感觉,除了以大金融等权重板块拉升外,其他板块表现并不如人意。在此敏感压力点位,大家要多一分小心和谨慎,除了前期沪指两次受阻3300点形成重要压力外,目前120周线也正压制沪指的上涨空间,3300点附近调整概率极大。

创业板指数正如昨日收评所预判的今日果然出现变盘,但方向选择了向下,盘中虽有主力资金护盘但效果甚微,午后一跟震荡下跌,但成交量较为温和,预计10日均线将获得支撑。短期继续震荡的概率较大。随着中报业绩的不断披露,社保基金及证金公司对创业板优质企业已悄然布局,预计调整过后创指仍存上涨空间。More exciting content follow WeChat official account: Li Wanqi(liwanqi888)Individual stock recommendations, market analysis, and insider stock recommendations, add WeChat:w13640659986,个股诊断,分析师一对一咨询。

In terms of operation, it is recommended that investors control their positions well. Due to the multiple pressures faced by the current rebound of the Shanghai Composite Index, short-term adjustments are inevitable. Investors with heavy positions should reduce their positions when they are high and wait for the adjustments to be made before buying back on dips. The current market situation is suitable for small positions to quickly enter and exit and participate in hot market sectors. Avoid cyclical and themed stocks with high stock prices and high risk of pullback.
    Author:2017/8/2 Li Wanqi
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