On Oil and Gold-罗老师：黄金实时行情1yes1VIP服务【百利好】

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Positive factors for news:

1.据周一（7month31日）公布的数据，美国7Month ChicagoPMIby58.9, lower than the previous value65.7And expectations61, creating2015year2月以来最大跌幅，表明通胀持续低迷。

2.US Department of Commerce Friday（7month28According to a report released in Japan, the US gross domestic product for the second quarter(GDP)Initial annualized quarterly growth rate2.6%Expected growth2.5%, the previous value is corrected to growth1.2%. In addition, the first quarterGDPGrowth expectations are also influenced by1.4%Downward revision to1.2%. The price data in the report indicates that inflation is further away from the Federal Reserve's2%Goal. The Federal Reserve's Favorite Inflation Indicator--Core without food and energy in the second quarterPCEPrice index annual discount rate increase0.9%, equalize2010The lowest level since the beginning of the year.

3.US Department of Labor Thursday（7month27Announce US to7month22The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is24.410000 people, the former value is23.3Ten thousand people; Expected to be24.1Ten thousand people. The Wall Street Journal commented that despite the sustained growth in employment in recent times, the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits this week still recorded an increase. In the past few months, the overall initial unemployment benefits have remained stable40The low level around the year indicates that employers are continuing to increase the number of job vacancies. The sustained low unemployment rate indicates that the job market is tightening or even approaching the level of full employment predicted by economists.

4.Federal ReserveFOMCWednesday（7month256The decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged and the discount rate to be maintained1.75%Unchanged; The committee unanimously approved the interest rate decision.

Negative factors on the news side:

1.全美不动产协会周一（7month31日）公布，美国6月成屋签约销售指数月率上涨58.9，高于前值和预期，在连续3月下降后，首次录得上升；但楼市增长仍然受到房地产供应紧缺的遏制。受楼市供给吃紧的扰乱，房价高涨导致一手房买家望而却步。

2.据周一（7month31日）公布的数据，美国7月达拉斯联储商业活动指数为16.8，高于前值和预期，整体表现不俗。作为衡量制造业整体水平的美国7月达拉斯联储制造业产出指数录得上升，表明7月产量增速好于6月。数据显示市场对经济改善感到更有信心。更多买家表现愈加乐观，订单量大幅增加。

3.US Department of Commerce Thursday（7month27Japan announces the United States6The monthly growth rate of durable goods orders6.5%; Far higher than previous values-0.8%And expectations3%. Reuters commentary states that the United States6Monthly durable goods orders with a record monthly rate2014year7The highest value since the beginning of the month. Core capital durable goods orders have declined, but transportation durable goods orders still maintain an upward trend, indicating that the US economic growth rate in the second quarter is still supported.

4.Wednesday（7month26The United States announced in Japan6The total monthly sales of new houses are61Ten thousand households, the same as before, slightly lower than expected.

黄金行情分析以及操作策略：

昨日黄金迎来了一贯的盘整，这主要是朝鲜试射导弹没有让地区紧张局势进一步升级，连锁反应没有出现；美国俄罗斯外交官冲突被市场解读完毕，市场暂时无新的消息指引方向。金价在连续上涨后，受阻1271高点，动力不足。

技术上黄金日线进入第17个交易日，处于升势但是日线运行天数过多要小心有1-3天回调；4小时已经走了较完整5浪也可能需要一次回调整固升势；1hour1243.5开始的上升，已经走了3浪高位滞涨不排除可能会有下跌；15分钟黄金三次测试1270.5高点都没有突破，那么今天是有可能冲破不了，震荡先下行。受支撑后再涨。

白天没破位以前投资者关注1272处阻力，激进投资者可以尝试1270附近下空，看震荡走低至1265跌破看更低位置。

Follow Below1265处支撑，跌破回调继续买入空单

上方突破1272后，回调继续买入多单。

Investment carries risks and requires caution in operation,The above strategies are for personal reference only!
Today's key focus on financial data and events
2017year8month1dayTuesday
① 09:45 China7Yuecai New Manufacturing IndustryPMIFinal value
② 12:30 澳洲联储公布利率决议及政策声明
③ 14:00 britain7monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index
④ 15:50 France7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
⑤ 15:55 Germany7Monthly manufacturing industryPMI终值、德国7Unemployment after quarterly adjustment, Germany7Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
⑥ 16:00 eurozone7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
⑦ 16:30 britain7Monthly manufacturing industryPMI
⑧ 17:00 Eurozone Q2GDPAnnual rate initial value
⑨ 20:30 U.S.A6Monthly personal expenditure rate, US6Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率及月率
10 21:45 U.S.A7monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value
⑪ 22:00 U.S.A7monthISMmanufacturingPMI, USA6Monthly construction expenditure monthly rate
⑫The next day04:30 From the United States to7month28Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock
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