Dingsheng Jinshi:8.5今日黄金走势分析，多空激战互有春秋，静...

——Message surface analysis——

    Yesterday,gold价格延续上涨，美盘时段一度站上1790上方，美元指数因受到上周美初请失业金人数增加拖累，走了一波回撤的行情。虽然英国央行加息50个基点，美联储官员强化进一步加息预期，略微拖累金价表现，但美初请失业金人数升至1月底以来新高，令美元和美债收益率走弱，给黄金价格提供上涨动能，而且地缘政治局势愈加紧张，避险买盘明显回升，也给金价提供上涨动能。


　　今日市场普遍关注美7月份的非农就业报告，市场预期可能会差于6月份的表现，预计新增就业人数仅增加25Ten thousand people,6Monthly increase37.2万人，数据公布前有望继续给黄金提供上涨动能。和前值相比，24家投行认为7月非农增速进一步下滑，相比之下失业率和平均时薪年率和前值相差不大。若数据显示7月非农增幅真如投行预测那样下滑，黄金有望获得支撑。如果非农数据表现意外强劲，短线可能会令金价承压，但仍需关注地缘政治局势对市场情绪的影响，留意美联储官员讲话。


　　——8.5黄金最新走势分析——


　　今日有非农消息，从最近基本面看和周初请失业看，预期非农不如前值，这个利多是提前泄露数据黄金在周四走完了，还是周五利多继续上涨，我们拭目以待，当然1795上涨空间绝对小于下跌幅度，所以我们一定记得哪怕你不做空，也不去1795上追多，要知道随时主力拉升一定程度借助利多消息，所有人看到的去追多也许就是突然下跌


　　昨日黄金持续震荡回弹，尾盘甚至冲破1790，测压至1795附近，日线收得一实体饱和阳线，在今晚非农数据将公布之前，黄金出现如此反常走势，无疑加大了今晚非农数据的不确定性风险。日线结构上，周二的冲高回落阴线并未来带来空间上的进一步回修，昨日行情持续震荡回弹，收得实体饱和阳线也很是意外，这不仅使得日线级别指标出现顶部背离，同时上方也将面临60Daily line1800附近压力，如果晚间非农利空黄金，那么昨日的这波反常上涨很有可能会给行情造成更大的空间回落。如果晚间非农利多黄金，则昨日的反常上涨则提前透支了上涨空间，对于后面的分析以及操作上都带来难度而不是机会。日内黄金暂看上方60Daily line1800Nearby pressure, pay attention below5Daily line1775Nearby support, if there is an upward break, the trend will be abnormal, and it is also very likely to open up a new upward trend, but this approach is not very helpful for operation. If there is a downward break, the trend will be abnormal5Daily moving average1776则短线行情延伸调整，下方或可能回撤20Daily moving average1760Near.


Based on the hourly chart trend, gold continued to climb and rebound yesterday. Before the major data, the market appeared in a small upward trend, which is difficult to understand. It is necessary to take strict precautions against this abnormal trend. Gold is expected to remain stable for the time being within the day1790Nearby competition for volatility, technical conditions allow market conditions to be tested1800Nearby, below focus on yesterday's abnormal rebound breakthrough1775-73This is also yesterday's market trend1790附近有承压后的回撤低点位，所以一旦此位失守，则短线的反常行情也就可能结束，操作上，鉴于今晚非农数据公布，市场情绪紧张异常，不确定的风险会比较大，激进则还是参考技术走势需要，侧重于择高位空。


——Operation suggestions——


　　①白盘激进可继续在1792-95附近极轻仓搏一次短空，止损1802Above, look down at the target1788-86先减仓改保本止损，下方回撤1780区域再做减离；


　　③如果白盘时段回撤1780-83附近极轻仓搏一次短多，止损1774Below, look at the target above1792-94先减仓改保本止损，留有部分持单看1800预期以及1810；


　　8.5crude oilLatest market analysis:


　　原油昨日延续下行，破低之后的弱势延续，日线再次收阴K线，底部破位加速阶段，周线颈线的失守，周线级别的回落，目前空间才开始启动，空间还可继续扩大。日线收低形成小台阶向下，昨日高点91.80是今日的临界点，昨日在91.30-91.50空以及90.40-90.50加空，低位的空单已落袋，高位91.30-91.50空单继续下看波段。日内短线配合反弹继续加仓看空即可。消息方面：石油输出国组织(OPEC)和盟友组成的OPEC+联盟周三同意将石油增产目标提高1010000 barrels/日，相当于全球石油需求的约0.1%，熟悉海湾地区主要石油出口国想法的消息人士称，如果今年冬季世界面临严重的供应危机，OPEC重量级成员沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋准备好“大幅增加”石油产量。


　　4小时下行通道中运行，破低之后延伸下行空间，同时也是构造小周期级别的弱势台阶下行，小时图比较明显的弱台阶，随着反弹高点96.5091.80.台阶下行通道比较鲜明，前一个高点即是隔日的临界点，而昨日的反弹高点91.80成为今日的防守点，阻力点则结合形态去安排反弹空即可，首个阻力89.0-89.30Secondly, it is90.0.弱势行情当中，操作上还是把握分批进场，以免踏空点位。


　　原油操作建议：昨91.30-91.50空单继续持有。今日短线88.50-88.80继续空见89.30补个空防守90.75target86.0-85.0


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!