Guide Metallographer:7.15Today's Gold Trend Analysis, Latest News and Operational Suggestions

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

Analysis of gold news: Thursday(7month14day)欧市早盘，美元指数维持强劲走势，日内大涨逾55点。现货黄金短线大幅下挫。隔夜美国CPIThe data is stronger than market expectations and has exceeded expectations again40The largest annual increase was released by several Federal Reserve officials7Monthly interest rate hike100Expectations of basis points, interest ratesfuturesAlso reflects the Federal Reserve7Monthly interest rate hike100The probability of a significant increase of basis points80%The US dollar remains strong and remains close20Near the annual high, this has continued to put pressure on gold prices and has also dampened interest in bargain hunting, posing a risk of further downward exploration in the short term.

Technical analysis of gold: The recent weak trend of gold prices has become very obvious, and the recent thinking has been bearish. Whether it is the trend of the US dollar hitting new highs or the strong willingness of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, they are effectively hitting the price of gold, and the factors supporting the rise of gold prices are currently too few. At the daily level, the Bollinger Belt continues to open downwards, with prices fluctuating downwards along the lower track and constantly reaching new lows. Last night, we basically tested as expected1700Near the checkpoint, although supported by some buying, prices continued to decline after a slight rebound.4When he was young, Brin took Ping away, and Brin brought him near the track, which is1745Horizontal resistance is formed on the first line, and the price has rebounded multiple times but failed to break through. The short-term trend is still volatile and short, and once the price falls below1700On the front line, the next goal is1680。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1720-1725One line of resistance, pay attention below1696-1690Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Thursday（7month14日）欧盘时段，美原油低位震荡，虽然目前200日均线给油价提供支撑，但全球经济衰退预期笼罩市场，需求预期悲观，EIA原油库存意外增加更是强化了需求不振的担忧；此外，美国6monthCPI再创逾40年新高，美国打压油价的需求强劲，美联储7Monthly interest rate increase100点的预期升温，美元屡创近20年新高，也令油价承压。欧盟正逐步对俄罗斯石油实施禁运，年底前从俄罗斯进口的石油将削减90%。与此同时，七国集团领导人已经讨论了一项对俄油设定价格上限的提议。一些行业专家警告称，此类举措可能会导致俄罗斯报复性减产，数百万桶石油可能会从市场上消失。据媒体日前报道，石油输出国组织(OPEC)6月份石油产量继续落后于目标。人们越来越担心该组织是否有能力缓解几十年来最严重的石油供应危机。OPECexpress,10个参与增产计划的OPECmember state6月份总产量升至248110000 barrels/日。这一数字比该组织商定的258710000 barrels/日低了大约10610000 barrels/日。另外拜登中东之行也将进一步促使产油国增加产量等压低油价的措施，预计油价短线偏向震荡下探或者低位震荡调整。

　　原油技术面分析；原油昨日小阳十字K线整理收盘，空间走得不大，区间来回拉锯，技术结构上从高位回落之后接近颈线93.0-92.80争夺点，此位是决定中期多空方向延续。市场进入谨慎争夺期。靠近后没有直接破位，使得短期延续性不定。日线十字稍有停顿。 4小时结构仍处于台阶下行通道中运行，单从4小时来看，不考虑颈线的得失，短线相对偏空一点点，就是空间延续性的问题，目前周线是在下轨受到支撑，同时也是周线的双顶构造确认颈线得失。所以相对谨慎。可能会陷入收缩震荡再蓄势放量选择突破。目前空头占据明显上风，继续关注200Daily moving average93.87附近支撑，如果跌破该位置，则增加中线看空信号，4month11Daily low point92.93位置和90整数关口也可以稍加留意。鉴于日内油价在200日均线附近获得了支撑，仍需提防多头扭转跌势的可能性，5month11Daily low point98.20位置需要留意，5Daily moving average100.50位置需重点关注，若能收复该位置，则削弱后市看空信号；综合来看，原油今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主，上方短期关注95.0-96.0One line of resistance, pay attention below90.0-89.0Frontline support.

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