Guide Metallographer:7.14今日黄金走势分析，空头强势突破1700Gateway

　　goldMessage interpretation:

Thursday(7month14day)，国际金价重新走低，因美指再创2002year10月下旬以来新高至108.646，损害了其他货币持有者对美元计价黄金的需求。市场担心美联储本月可能会采取更激进的加息措施以对抗不断飙升的通胀。隔夜公布的数据显示，美国6月份消费者价格同比上涨9.1%, for40多年来的最大涨幅。考虑到上周公布的美国就业数据，平均时薪低于前值。较高的通货膨胀率和较低的平均每小时收入将大大减少家庭消费和储蓄。

　　数据公布后，金价一度下探2021year8月上旬以来新低1706.97dollar/盎司。市场现在预计，美联储将在7月末的政策会议上加息100个基点。高利率提升持有非孳息资产黄金的机会成本。但避险情绪限制了金价下行步伐。美国通胀加剧了对潜在衰退的持续担忧。两年期美国国债收益率进一步攀升，而较长期利率也走高。两年期和10年期收益率倒挂，市场发出潜在衰退信号。“CPI数据发布后给市场带来冲击，但没有形成方向性走势。”他的理由是，市场现在可能预计美联储将加快升息步伐，但不一定会加速缩表，尽管黄金仍然看跌。

Goldfutures未平仓合约周三(7month13day)逆转此前连续三个交易日上升势头，缩水近5000手。成交量连续第二个交易日增加，增幅超过19000手。金价隔夜在逼近1700美元后出现客观涨幅，但上涨是在未平仓头寸减少的背景下出现的，因此进一步上涨前景受限。现在所有目光都集中在将于日内晚些时候即将公布的美国6Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)上。市场预计，6Monthly overallPPI同比回落0.1Percentage points10.7%, CorePPIFallback0.2Percentage points to8.1%。但美国PPI也可能在CPI井喷后意外走高。美国每周初请失业金人数和美联储官员沃勒的讲话也将受到密切关注。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金价格近期的弱势走势已经很明显了，近期的思路也一直是在看空，不管是美元屡创新高的势头还是美联储强烈的加息意愿，都在有力的打击着黄金的价格，而支撑黄金价格上涨的因素目前来看还是太少。日线级别，布林带持续开口向下，价格沿着下轨震荡下行，并且不断走出新的低点，昨晚基本按照预期去试探1700Near the checkpoint, although supported by some buying, prices continued to decline after a slight rebound.4When he was young, Brin took Ping away, and Brin brought him near the track, which is1745Horizontal resistance is formed on the first line, and the price has rebounded multiple times but failed to break through. The short-term trend is still volatile and short, and once the price falls below1700On the front line, the next goal is1680。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1735-1740One line of resistance, pay attention below1700-1695Frontline support.

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