Chen Zeqiang:7.13今日黄金多空走势分析，原油价格交易操作策略

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

Message surface

Wednesday（7month13At the beginning of the Asian market, in stockgoldVolatile and slightly lower, currently trading in1727美元附近，美联储的加息前景和经济衰退的避险买需，帮助美元守在近20年高位附近，这令金价持续承压，本交易日还将迎来韩国央行利率决议、新西兰联储利率决议、加拿大央行利率决议，市场普遍预期会分别加息50个基点，料将进一步增加持有黄金的机会成本，对金价不利。

　　日内重点关注IEAMonthly announcementcrude oil市场报告、美国6monthCPIdataEIAdata

　　黄金分析

　　周二黄金波动异常，在早盘开盘后急跌急涨，形成洗盘震荡，不过在空头趋势下，整体还是极弱慢跌，最低保持在1722，最高压制在1745，跟预测的几乎一致，午夜二次下跌也没有破位1722低点，在趋势中，形成了基本盘的低位震荡状态。

　　周三黄金关注弱势行情下的破位与否。早盘在1722反弹，说明1720支撑较强，亚欧盘不必追空，支撑下看反弹，短期会走一个拉高的蓄力，如果反弹力度不足，再顺势做高空，日线目前在5，10单边均线压制下走弱，上方依旧关注1735-1750Small cycleH4的表现也是如此，虽然H4有明显的收口表现，但不稳固，因此，暂时极弱下跌低位震荡，随时可能破位，交易尽量做反弹空。

　　亚欧盘反弹关注1735是否破位，破位则上看1750，不破极弱看1735-1720。

Operation suggestions

Gold in1732Short nearby, stop loss1737Stop surplus1725-1722；

Analysis of crude oil trend

Wednesday（7month13日）亚洲时段，油价轻微反弹，现报95.7dollar/桶，早间一度下跌至93.72dollar/Bucket, for4month12日以来最低；稍早API数据显示，上周美国原油和成品油库存增加，油价还受累于美元走强，以及OPECforecast2023年石油需求增长将放缓。日内重点关注IEA公布月度原油市场报告、美国6monthCPIdataEIA数据。总体来看，美元持续走强，经济衰退担忧以及库存增加，OPEC预计需求放缓，多重利空助力油价下破95dollar/桶，日内将公布EIA数据，若进一步显示库存增加，油价或下探90关口，此外，日内交易关注EIAMonthly report.

　　原油昨日持续下跌，欧美盘时段下跌幅度放大，尾盘受API数据意外大增影响，行情再度出现一波较大幅度下跌，低点跌至93.5一线，日线收得一实体饱和大阴线。从原油日线结构来看，近期走势虽然波动幅度较大，但多空转换极为频繁，且可参考的因素又很不明确，这其间的主要原因还是收市场情绪的影响，这给操作上也带来极大的难度。技术上，虽然当前美油再度回撤至此前预期的中期支撑区域95-93之间，尤其是目前低点落在200日线附近，技术上可能会提供一定的回弹动能，但考虑到近期原油多空转换频繁状态，短线操作上还是莫要盲目看单边。日内操作思路上陈泽强建议原油低多看涨，下方支撑94；

Suggestions for crude oil operation95Long, stop loss94, look at the goal96.5-98；

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting