Chen Zeqiang:7.12黄金原油美盘走势分析及投资交易操作策略

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday（7month12At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold weakened in a volatile manner, continuing the overnight decline and reaching a new low in nearly nine months1727.03dollar/Ounces; Overnight US dollar surge1.24%, refresh again20The annual high has put significant pressure on gold prices, further strengthening by Federal Reserve officials7Monthly interest rate hike75The expectation of a basis point also makes bullish gold bullies hesitant. At present, the market's bearish expectations for the euro remain high, and it is biased towards bullish US bond yields, which is expected to provide further opportunities for the US dollar to rise. As a result, gold prices may further fluctuate and weaken, and we will continue to focus on last year9Monthly low point1721and1700Supports near integer levels.

　　本周美国CPI数据可能会进一步走高，美联储官员一方面强化美联储7Monthly interest rate increase75个基点，一方面淡化美国经济衰退风险，但欧元区经济衰退风险居高不下，美元存在进一步上涨机会，起码短线偏向维持强势，这令金价面临进一步下行风险，而且近期强势美元较大程度的替代了黄金的避险作用，金价短线的反弹空间预计将受到限制。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨日低位弱势整理，日线小阴线收低，维持在上周五的高点之下弱势整理之后再去摸低，虽未破低，但日线收在低位，下破只是时间问题，弱势修正之后再蓄势进一步走低是大概率事件，技术面趋势已形成单边空头，处于第三浪下跌延伸当中，均线指标空头发散，KThe line pattern did not stop the decline. The daily bearish outlook remains unchanged.

Gold4Local interval convergence within hours, and last week's rebound correction initially formed a small level of high point pressure. at present1752A short-term strength critical point has been formed, with a correction for weaknesses below this level. Previously, there were consecutive1750Short selling in the area1732Short term buying also takes into account the market correction in the short term, and there is still further momentum to break through the low point in the future. However, there are also many opportunities to enter the short term, and short the market first in the high altitude, and then fall back1732Look at the broken position again for the bagged part. Today's operational approach remains the same, relying on1752Make a critical point on the upper track and continue to rebound to be bearish, with resistance at1743-1748一带，也是空点位置。小时图横向的时间拉长，但不改弱势修正的手法，反弹的空间决定强弱。时间横盘越长，后市下行空间越大。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上陈泽强建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期关注1745-1750Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1723-1718一线支撑。文章只能给您一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点的时机，请关注陈泽强实盘将实时给出。

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday（7month12During the Asia Europe period, US crude oil weakened due to fluctuations, and currently trading in101.43dollar/Barrel, concerns about the Asian epidemic have intensified in the market, as demand prospects have been dragged down, global stock markets have generally fallen, and the Shanghai Composite Index has hit a new low of two and a half weeks, which has weighed on oil prices; Moreover, market concerns about the prospects of a global economic recession, especially in the eurozone, persist, and the US dollar continues to strengthen, jointly suppressing oil prices.

On the supply side, the Russian court overturned the previous suspension on MondayCPCCaspian Oil Pipeline Operation30After the ruling of days, concerns about the interruption of the Caspian Sea pipeline have been alleviated. In addition, US National Security Advisor Sullivan stated on Monday that when US President Biden meets with Gulf leaders in Saudi Arabia this week, he will promoteOPECOil producing countries increase production to lower gasoline prices. Attention on this trading dayOPECMonthly crude oil market reportEIAMonthly short-term energy outlook report andAPIChanges in crude oil inventory data.

From a technical perspective of crude oil, the opening of the daily crude oil distribution belt extends downwards, and the moving average index synchronously moves downwards6The crude oil price remained on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands within three trading days106.2The operation below indicates that the oil price is still in the stage of short selling and control, and the current price is under pressureMA5\MA10Mean line bonding position104.1The lower part fluctuates and consolidates. In the near future, the crude oil price should pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Bands106.2And down the track97.5Breakthroughs in the region.4The upper Bollinger Bands of the hour panel is closed, and the upper and lower rail sections are compressed to105.5-100.1Continue to include5Root YinKIn the case of a line, the price is once again close4Hour off track, if it returns to negative againKThe line will inevitably extend downwards. On the attached indicatorsMACDThe green column is emerging with a trend of dead forks,KDJRandom index synchronous dead fork signal,STOIndicator down,SAR抛物线指标向下发散，短线增加下行风险。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上陈泽强建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期重点关注102.2-102.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below97.0-96.5一线支撑。文章只能给您一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点的时机，请关注陈泽强实盘将实时给出。

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting