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Dingsheng Jinshi:7.7今日黄金走势分析,金价仍极弱还有一跌,...

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todaygold行情分析解读:


  第一,黄金日线级别:昨日再度收报大阴续跌,连续两日的大幅下挫,让行情走出了加速跌的迹象,而一般加速过后,容易步入底部的震荡整理,也就是展开一定修正;另外,此时价格也开始远离短期均线,意味着再大幅下挫概率在较小,下一个前期启动点位置是1720,预计此位置上下会出现一定买盘支撑金价暂缓极弱延续,从而步入震荡修正;当然,历史以来,任何的一次大底形成,都是相对墨迹的,需要反复折腾些日子,甚至多数情况下,再反转多头前,还会再来一次诱空诛心一剑;按照昨日文章所讲,2070-1998压制以来的下降通道下轨支撑,在未来一周内,若弱势延续,可以指向1680frontline2021年大双底;若开始震荡修正了,则短期内还未必能见到1680,反而容易去修正1784破位口;总体思路上,当前继续保持极弱看跌对待,同时1720及下方不宜再过度去低空;


  第二,黄金4Hour level:10均线依然是有效承压点,短期震荡强弱的风水岭,今日下移至1752,此位置下保持弱势看跌;


  第三,黄金小时线级别:隔夜大幅下挫,凌晨低位小幅反弹承压1744一线,今日早盘先反弹冲击1747.5有所压制,此位置属于隔夜跌幅反抽382分割压制点,下方关注1738-39,属于小幅反弹形成的小型通道下轨支撑,一旦大阴破位,则容易极弱续跌;关注欧盘走势强弱,只要它处于横盘不上或者先下挫连跌,美盘都应二次看弱势延续;另外,macd已经形成一重背驰酝酿,一旦价格失守1732走跌延续,则会形成二重背驰;那么,一般来讲,二重背驰会展开一定超跌反弹修正,因此参考日线下一个支撑1720,建议此位置上下要留意支撑效果,考虑是否反手短多试探,去测试超跌反弹;当然,反弹一波后还会震荡压制下来,不过由于跌幅过大,一旦修正,力度也至少会有三四十美金;


  操作思路:1747.5下先逢高极弱去看跌,1720上下则留意企稳信号;


  crude oilMarket trend analysis:


  原油在周三反弹至101.8后出现二次下跌,最低一波大跌至95.1,单日在此出现60美金的下跌空间,近期原油注意不要继续看空,周线已经接近布林周期的底部支撑附近,近期原油或出现反转大涨走势,因此,近期做空也需要谨慎。技术面的表现日内关注101.8的得失,如果原油上涨走高站稳101.8之上,则可见趋势转变的基本要求,如果未能站稳101.8之上,日线不收阳,则还是保持低位弱势低位震荡。今日操作上反弹101.8Short selling, stop loss102.86, look at the goal97.5-95.5。


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!

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