Guide Metallographer:7.7今日黄金走势分析，金价大幅走低维持跌势

　　goldInterpretation of message surface:

　　本周市场参与者专注于美联储的未来行动，因为这与即将在7Month and9monthFOMC会议上宣布的加息有关。基本面和技术面研究都同意，美元持续走强和黄金走低。随着FOMC出台后，行情正持续因准确性的头条新闻发酵，并聚焦非农下步重磅信号。

From2018年以来，美联储只加息三次。然而，所有三次加息都是在最近三次FOMC会议，也就是3Month5Month and6月上宣布并实施的。目前市场预期的是，美联储将在7Month and9月的下两次FOMC会议上加息。

　　根据芝加哥商品交易所的FedWatch工具，美联储在本月底加息75The probability of one basis point is93.9%。这比昨天的FedWatch工具增加10%以上，该工具预测加息75The probability of a basis point is83.8%。

　　这一增长反映了今天公布的上个月FOMC会议的鹰派纪要，6monthFOMC会议纪要发布，以及美联储许多投票成员的鹰派声明，对美元产生强烈的看涨影响，对黄金产生看跌的影响。现在是本周的第二天，我们看到美元升值升至20年高点，而黄金现在继续贬值，处于去年以来的最低水平。

　　Kitco撰文提到，当前美元走强和黄金走弱的趋势可能会在接近其当前值的地方找到技术阻力/支撑。当然，上面的陈述有一个明显的警告。需要注意的是，美元和黄金都受到降低技术研究预测金融市场准确性的头条新闻的推动。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金日线收盘一根饱满大阴K线，而且每日的新低将可能完全摧毁黄金多头头寸，也触发了大量的止损盘。所以目前背离指标的参考性可能不太大，本着跌势不言底的态度，黄金依旧是空头趋势。从内部走势来看，黄金昨日开盘承压整理，欧美盘弱势下跌破低，打破了近期的低点，击穿1784之后，日线创新低，并没有下探回升收高。故可以断定弱势依然是主调。在此类走势中，亚盘预计横向整理后就会惯性摔出新低，甚至会有头寸在亚盘期间介入，以防踏空。但是同时波动系数也是非常的大，建议投资者谨慎操作，日内黄金短期压力：1748-1762-1772Lower support:1735-1720-1710。

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