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指南金师:黄金天天跌,今日再创新低,多单还有机会吗?

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  goldMessage interpretation:

Wednesday(7month6day),国际金价在触及2021year12月中旬以来新低至1762.93dollar/盎司后温和反弹,但鉴于由于通胀处于数十年来的高位,全球央行年内不太可能停止收水,金价中期内继续看跌。

  美指隔夜暴涨,创2002year12月初以来新高至106.796。美联储加息导致美债收益率上升,带动美元走强,进而打压黄金前景。美联储将在北京时间周四(7month7day)2:00publish6月政策会议纪要。这可能会让投资者更清楚地了解利率路线图。

  美联储主席鲍威尔上周表示,美联储仍将重点放在控制通胀上。他并补充说,美国经济已经做好了应对紧缩政策的准备。这被认为是持续打压黄金走势的关键因素。

According to foreign media surveys,6月份加息的主要央行数量超过至少过去20年来的任何一个月份,而且由于通胀处于数十年来的高位,货币政策收紧年内不太可能止步。

  FXStreetanalystDhwani Mehta发布报告称:“美联储6月会议纪要料将支持美联储‘迅速’行动以控制通胀的立场,美元可能会恢复升势。若该纪要强化7Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的预期,同时打开9Monthly interest rate increase50个基点的大门,将提振美元避险买盘。金价若跌破1750美元关键支撑位,黄金空头将锁定前期上升通道目标位1722US dollars. "

  道明证券(TD Securities)策略师报告称:“黄金安全边际非常小,跌破1780美元意味着,金价将屈服于上世纪80年代以来最鹰派的央行政策,意味着黄金可能形成持续下跌趋势。随着各国央行面临信誉危机,它们可能会继续致力于抗击通胀,并在比预期更长的时间内保持高利率。”

  不过在美联储会议记录公布之前,黄金空头可能会避免大举押注。除此之外,周五(7month8day)即将公布的美国6月非农就业报告将影响美元,并决定金价近期走势。

Technical analysis of gold:

Gold opened under pressure yesterday to consolidate, with weak European and American markets falling below lows, breaking recent lows and breaking through1784Afterwards, the daily innovation reached a low of1863.80dollar|Ounces, finally closing with a plump shadeKLine, DayinKThe lower limit of the line was further increased, forming a wave like low continuation. Yesterday, after consolidation, it was directly in the pressure plate1802-1804Take a short look. After breaking the limit, we will switch to a lower band and continue to hold short single bottom positions. There is further continuation of the short-term trend within the day. In terms of news: Economic recession concerns have intensified, and traders are waiting for the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting and non farm data to determine further measures by the Federal Reserve; Currently, the market expects7Monthly interest rate resolution for interest rate increase75Basis points. The rise of the US dollar reached a new high, suppressing the decline of gold prices. The daily structure broke through the low and closed low, with the third wave's decline extending, while today's resistance is at the top to bottom transition point1784.This weak rebound correction point remains bearish below this level.

Gold4After the correction of the rebound at the beginning of the hour, the volume broke through the low yesterday and a wave of continuous yin released space. CurrentlyKThe line structure is full and full of continuous yin fluctuations. At the end of the trading day, with the correction of the small negative line, there was no downward trend and a rebound, so continuing to short today remains the main trend. The weak correction is the continuation of the trend, while a strong rebound will turn into volatility, with slightly less room for rebound in the end of last night. The path of weak correction relies on the last shadeKThe high point of the line happens to be the resistance point for the top to bottom transition1784.50Near the critical point, rebound to short, the high point of last night's late rebound was1775也是今天的阻力点。弱势行情中,亚盘预计横向整理后就会惯性摔出新低,故亚盘要积极跟进,以免踏空点位。波动基数加大,短线操作分批控仓操作。综上所述指南金师总结:今日黄金操作思路上建议以反弹做空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注1765-1770Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1725Frontline support.

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