Chen Zeqiang:7.5黄金原油美盘行情走势分析，黄金原油交易策...

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　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday(7month5day)，国际金价持稳，尽管受到全球经济前景堪忧的提振，但美元高位运行抑制了金价升幅。全球主要央行加息，金价仍面临下行压力。在美联储6月会议纪要公布前，金价可能维持横盘整理。美国市场在独立日假期后恢复交易，基准美国10年期国债收益率从上周五创下的一个月低点小幅回升，但仍低于3%。不过美元指数徘徊在两年高点附近，继续削弱持有其他货币的买家对以美元计价黄金的需求。有分析师表示：总体而言，黄金价格走势仍然平淡无奇，尽管在过去一个月日K线高点不断降低，但市场做空力量仍然较弱。金价回调不可避免，但美债收益率普遍走低似乎正在推迟该进程。美联储6月会议纪要将在北京时间周四(7month6day)2点公布。在此之前，金价可能横盘整理。美联储政策制定者对美国经济指标的详细观点，尤其是对通胀和增长预测的观点，将支持市场参与者调整其相关资产头寸。过去几个月，全球主要央行加息，试图抑制失控的通胀，这给金价带来了压力。但在经济危机(如经济衰退)期间，黄金被视为一种安全的价值储存手段。

Technical analysis of gold: From the perspective of yesterday's gold daily structure, the gold first fluctuated and then rebounded during the day, but remained above1814The first line was blocked, and then the market fluctuated and retreated, while the low point in the European session retreated to1804On the first line, the overall trend is also in line with the expected volatility and digestion trend for the day. At present, the short-term market trend may not be easy to control, and the late US market closure will also make the market trading sentiment cautious, so the overall volatility will not be significant. Stay tuned above the evening gold5Daily line1812-14Short term pressure competition, although there were punctures within the day1812As5The pressure of daily and small cycle trend lines may still become a key point of contention in the evening. According to the daily structure, if we close today5Not too much on the daily line, but above1820Frontline action10The daily pressure and trend line pressure will still have a further suppressive effect, so short-term gold can be biased towards bearish, but do not expect too much space. Technically, the overall rebound is still weak, and the current rebound is only a technical oversold rebound, making it difficult to achieve a reversal.

At present, while both the bullish and bearish directions of the gold market may occur, it is recommended to focus on the wait-and-see approach in the current market, and follow the direction of the volatility before participating. The short-term trend structure should be clarified first, and the trend should still be bearish, meaning that bears have the main advantage. When the rebound is blocked and suppressed, they will still be bearish. Participation is the rhythm direction of the bearish market, rather than disrupting the rhythm direction due to short-term low rebound. Friday, althoughVType reversal, but never breaking the bearish trend line.4The mid hour orbit will stillKThe physical part of the line is pressed to death, and has not broken through the middle track multiple times, indicating the strong pressure. Breaking through is not a result of Asahi's efforts, and it will inevitably undergo the baptism of time. It is clearly not enough now. Now gold is at a critical watershed position, while4小时中轨压制金价，双重因素引导我们继续看空黄金。在黄金没有转势的情况下，不要枉然抄底。综上所述总结：今日黄金操作上陈泽强建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1812-1817Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1790-1785Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas, as for the specific entry point settlement τ Please pay attention to the timing. Chen Zeqiang's firm offer will be provided in real time.

　　crude oilaspect:

Tuesday(7month5day)，国际油价涨跌互现，尽管全球经济衰退可能抑制燃料需求，但挪威罢功将导致的减产强化供应中断风险。罢功是在石油和天然气价格居高不下的情况下发生的。在俄罗斯出口削减后，对欧洲的天然气供应尤其紧张。随着美联储通过快速加息来对抗猖獗的通货膨胀，在全球金融环境普遍收紧的情况下，投资者越来越关注需求。SPI资产管理公司在一份报告中表示：“随着市场担忧从高通胀转向经济衰退，石油正在努力适应这一变化。为了努力遏制通胀的飙升，澳洲联储甚至不惜冒着引发经济下滑的风险，周二连续第三个月上调利率，加息50Bps to1.35%，标志着自5月以来累计加息125个基点。尽管如此，石油价格仍受到供应中断的支撑，总体来看，原油供应端近期表现明显偏紧，高通胀在抑制需求的同时对于供应端同样存在扰动，缺少宏观利空下油价基本面驱动偏强，北海中东月差进一步走强。短期油价预计高位震荡，中期关注中东地缘事件对油价的扰动。

Crude oil rebounded and closed higher yesterday, with the lowest retest107.30The first line started to stabilize, holding onto the low point of last Friday's late retreat, and ultimately rebounded to rise to110.30At a high point, and the daily harvest is at a high level, the harvest is in the middle of the positive line, and the daily rebound is consecutive positive.4The previous double dip rebound of the hour chart failed to break the low point, resulting in insufficient continuation of the decline. Combining with yesterday's hour chart, a wave of organized secondary rebound has been formed, currently relying on107.0Making a two wave small-scale rebound at a low point and touching a high point may lead to a short-term rebound, but persistence is a problem, that is, the persistence of rebound momentum. Structurally, there may still be broad oscillations. The combination of short-term operations in the day is from point to surface, and ultra short-term operations can be flexibly handled. Overall, it is recommended that crude oil operations today focus on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by bearish trading, with short-term attention from above110.9-111.4Frontline resistance, short-term focus below106.0-105.5Frontline support.

Operation suggestions:

　　110.5-110.9Short nearby, stop loss0.5Point, look at the target108.5nearby

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting