Chen Zeqiang:7.5黄金原油行情走势分析，黄金原油详细交易策...

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

InternationalgoldMessage and technical aspects:

　　黄金市场资讯：周一（7month4日）亚欧时段，现货黄金震荡微涨，目前交投于1811.581dollar/盎司附近，尽管印度上调黄金进口税，美元相对强势，令金价承压，但上周美国一些列经济数据表现较差，ISMmanufacturingPMI录得近两年新低，市场对美国经济谁退的预期持续升温，对美国6月非农就业报告的预期也有所下降，避险买盘和逢低买盘有望给金价提供反弹机会。本交易日美国恰逢独立日假期，预计交投可能受限，留意欧元区7monthSentix投资者信心指数，留意俄乌局势相关消息和市场对本周经济数据的预期变化。

　　黄金技术面解析：目前黄金日线在低位收线十字星，单边趋势线压制没有破位，压制点在1820附近，周四之前先看1820的得失，继续上涨，日线就自然连阳，上方可见日线布林上方1865，所以，上方空间很大，注意数据影响冲击高点。H4周期中布林收口，均线勾头向上发展，k线一根针直插低位，大阳吞阴，强势站稳在均线之上，周初黄金在低位表现强势，上涨还没有完成，因此，周初还是保持低多，先看1820，1828，再结合数据观察尾盘行情走势。黄金价格下跌趋势通道在1814附近，白盘先关注1814的测试情况，如果这个位置破了这波多头会到1824，这两个位置都是空头反扑的位置。黄金周一先关注一下它的节奏，多头直接反弹上去的可能性不是很大，后期还有调整和下踩的需要，如果白盘先调整在1800and1792又是多头反扑的位置。

　　个人建议：反弹做空为主；GOLDWatershed:1800dollar/ounce

　　策略参考：空单建议黄金1814-1810分批进场，止损4USD, target1800-1797附近；多单建议黄金1800-1797分批进场，止损4USD, target1810-1814nearby(Kind reminder: Investment is risky and entering the market with caution. Personal opinions are for reference only!)

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（7month4During the Asian session, US Oil fell slightly and is currently trading at108dollar/桶附近；美国经济衰退担忧加剧，且猴痘疫情在欧美传播，需求担忧情绪再起；但利比亚国家港口的不可抗力或限制油价跌幅。分析师表示，“随着利比亚的政治危机导致石油出口大幅下降，油价上周以上涨报收。之前看过这一幕，石油市场供应紧张和关键港口的不可抗力应该会为油价提供潜在支撑。” 分析师写道，“价格上限最明显和可能的风险是，俄罗斯可能选择不参与，而是通过减少出口进行报复，莫斯科可能会借减产来报复，给西方国家带来痛苦。全球石油市场的紧张局面对俄罗斯有利。”利比亚的出口中断加剧了全球供应担忧，且油价反弹小幅收涨。总体来看，油价依然受到供应紧张的支撑，但受到疫情担忧和美国经济衰退担忧的加剧，油价短线或回落。周二OPEC秘书长巴尔金都将发表讲话，需要关注。

　　原油技术面分析：美油周一日内先震荡，测压109The first line is back under pressure and retreats to107.3一线，但欧盘后期行情又出现拉升回弹，目前高点已经翻过日线级别均线带，至110一线附近。按照日线以及小时图结构，短线美油走势比较难把控，既然目前109压力已经失效，那么可能会有进一步的延续上涨，上方110、111都可能成为下一个压力点位，但具体会落在何处不好判断，短线波动空间不大，但这种特殊情况下，又容易出现异动风险。技术点位关注110、111Pressure, following below10Daily line108附近支撑争夺，目前依小时图结构来看，跌回其下的可能性依然有，但已经大大减小。综合来看，原油今日操作思路上陈泽强建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注111.8-112.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below108.5-108.0Frontline support.

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting