Guide Metallographer:7.4今日黄金走势分析，鲍威尔表示抗通胀没商量

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Monday(7month4day)，现货黄金持稳，尽管美元指数在清淡的市况中走弱，但鉴于美联储政策制定者强调抗通胀目标是“无条件的”，巩固了市场对其进一步收紧货币政策的预期，也限制了金价反弹。美国市场周一恰逢独立日假期，流动性较往常稀薄。


　　抗通胀没商量


　　根据美国农业事务联合会的数据，在独立日假期选择外出烧烤的美国人在食品方面的平均支出比去年高出17%。这是全球消费者面对残酷的物价上行压力的最新例证，尽管就目前而言，美国消费者表现还算不错。


　　旧金山联储主席戴利上周五(7month1day)表示，即使她知道(6月消费者信心数字疲软)，她仍支持美联储6Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的决定。并且，美联储在7月份需要再次加息75个基点，随后也需要继续加息，以应对在她看来可能尚未见顶的价格压力。


　　圣路易斯联储主席布拉德早些时候发表讲话说，美联储必须“采取直接和积极的行动，以使通胀好转并得到控制”，并再次呼吁提前加息以将通胀率降至美联储的2%Goal.


　　拯救市场并不是美联储目前的首要关注点，尤其是在它们信誉受到严重威胁的情况下(去年一直认为高通胀暂时的)。美联储官员不敢绝对保证，他们能够在不使经济陷入衰退的情况下控制通胀。美联储主席鲍威尔上周强调，降低通胀是“无条件的”。


　　前美联储副主席夸尔斯在出席上周五的一档节目中表示：“通胀最终不会成为真正的问题，因为美联储将控制通胀虽然开始有点慢，但他们有这样的工具，他们会做到的。”


　　City IndexSenior AnalystMatt Simpson说：“现实情况是，管理基金和大型投机者正在增加对黄金的空头押注，如果我们看到收盘价低于1800美元，那么它可能会引发新一轮抛售。”


Technical analysis of gold:


Last week, the overall trend of gold continued to fluctuate and decline unilaterally, and the most crucial thing last week was to break through1802Support. And it's breaking down1802Afterwards, there was an accelerated sell-off trend, and in the end1784There is support here, although there has been a rebound in volatility, the overall structure is still bearish. Even if there is a rebound this week, the overall expectation is to see further7month7The low point will only occur around the th, and there will be a significant rebound in the market afterwards. Therefore, structurally speaking, the overall trend is still mainly bearish, but7month7After the 11th, there may be a retaliatory rebound in the market through non agricultural activities. Also, it's important to focus on1780If we break the position, we will further see a bearish outlook1750And1720Support. And in the future, the overall focus will be on1858的压力突破才是关键核心，不过指南金师后市看跌至1750Nearby, short-term, gold1The morning star form at the bottom of the hour level. Overall, the guidelines for gold operations today suggest that the main focus should be on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by stepping back on low altitudes, with short-term attention from above1820-1825Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1800-1795Frontline support.


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