Guide Metallographer:7.4今日黄金走势分析，金价展开千八攻防战

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　上周，黄金持续下跌，价格一度跌破1800美元关口，刷新六周以来的低点，美经济数据促使鲍威尔明确释放鹰派立场，表明了控制通胀是美联储任务中的重中之重，彰显了不惜一切代价的决心。这使得市场对加息的预期立马升温，打压了黄金价格；另一方面，对经济陷入衰退的担忧势必同步加剧，市场可能更加担心如果美联储无法遏制通胀的局面，黄金作为在动荡时期保值避险的功能将更为凸显，在这场美联储加息和通胀的拉锯战中，黄金走势尚未明朗。


　　受到欧洲央行大幅加息预期升温的影响，更主要的是，美ISMmanufacturingPMI等一些列经济数据表现较差，市场对美联储激进加息的预期略微有所降温，美元的多头情绪下降，这给黄金多头提供信心，本周将迎来美6月份非农就业报告，目前市场预期并不是很乐观，美元指数短线见顶的风险有所增加，这种预期有望给黄金价格提供反弹机会。而且全球经济衰退风险，也可能会限制金价的下跌空间。预期本周在非农数据出炉之前，黄金价格将继续维持低位震荡的走势，市场也在等待非农数据之后能够走出一个方向。


Today's Key Financial Data and Events2022year7month4Day Monday


　　(The US stock market is closed,CMEandICEEarly termination of some contract transactions under its umbrella)


① Pending InterconnectionETFThe transaction officially begins


　　②14:00Germany5Monthly and quarterly adjustment of current account


　　③14:00Germany5Monthly and quarterly trade accounts adjustment


　　④14:30Switzerland6monthCPIMonthly rate


　　⑤16:30eurozone7monthSentixInvestor confidence index


　　⑥17:00eurozone5monthPPIMonthly rate


Technical analysis of gold:


Last week, the overall trend of gold continued to fluctuate and decline unilaterally, and the most crucial thing last week was to break through1802Support. And it's breaking down1802Afterwards, there was an accelerated sell-off trend, and in the end1784There is support here, although there has been a rebound in volatility, the overall structure is still bearish. Even if there is a rebound this week, the overall expectation is to see further7month7The low point will only occur around the th, and there will be a significant rebound in the market afterwards. Therefore, structurally speaking, the overall trend is still mainly bearish, but7month7After the 11th, there may be a retaliatory rebound in the market through non agricultural activities. Also, it's important to focus on1780If we break the position, we will further see a bearish outlook1750And1720Support. And in the future, the overall focus will be on1858Breaking through the pressure is the key core, but I am bearish in the future1750Nearby, short-term, gold1The morning star form at the bottom of the hour level. Overall, the guidelines for gold operations today suggest that the main focus should be on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by stepping back on low altitudes, with short-term attention from above1820-1825Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1800-1795Frontline support.


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