Yu Yue on Jin:7.4黄金会跌吗?白银会涨吗?欧盘行情分析操作建议

　　goldTrend analysis



　　黄金趋势结构首先要明确，虽然行情反弹上行，但是不足以改变趋势方向，短期趋势结构依旧偏弱，反弹预期还是一个调整走势，后市还是偏向于跌幅下探。而上周五的收盘周尾阶段出现了行情的反向运行，我们也需要防范，短期在于中间价位，而上方的压制点依旧较为明显，1812一线是前期的一个低位，短期顶底转换，午后依旧承压与此位置，可入空继续看回落。其次上周五的反弹走势往往衔接的是周一的行情波动预期，所以当下行情多空均有可能发生，而低位的分界点关注1800一线位置，回撤止步抗跌，可短多继续看上行，所以目前的操作重点不在于早间开盘时段，而是在午后欧盘前后为主！



　　黄金当行情多空方向均有可能发生的同时，当下行情建议观望为主，波幅出方向方可跟随参与，短期趋势结构首先明确，趋势依旧主空，也就是空头占据主要优势，反弹遇阻压制位之下依旧主空参与是主的节奏方向，而不要因为短期低位反弹而打乱了节奏方向。总的来讲，日内还是偏向于弱势环节继续看走弱，而上方压制首先关注1812一线附近，其次是1825一线的反弹高点，上周五的高点位置，若持续反弹走高，我们在临盘调整。



　　上周五虽然VType reversal, but never breaking the bearish trend line.4The mid hour orbit will stillKThe physical part of the line is pressed to death, and has not broken through the middle track multiple times, indicating the strong pressure. Breaking through is not a result of Asahi's efforts, and it will inevitably undergo the baptism of time. It is clearly not enough now. Now gold is at a critical watershed position, while4小时中轨压制金价，双重因素引导我们继续看空黄金。在黄金没有转势的情况下，不要枉然抄底。1810继续放空黄金。那么操作思路上建议黄金日内反弹高空为主，低多为辅；上方助力1812-1825；下方支撑1785；



Analysis of silver trend



Currently, the pressure on silver is concentrated and transactions are intensive20.8After a continuous decline, stabilization, and rebound in the region, the current rebound is still relatively strong, but20.8The upward pressure is clearly unable to break through and adjust at any time. There is a point where the demand for silver industry in the later stage limits the downward space. When gold stabilizes, it is still the first to long silver. The main trend should rebound and participate in short selling. If the rebound continues20.5Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments, as for silverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now4750If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom4560Regional pressure continues to short4650Loss is sufficient. Available in stock20Try a shorter layout near the area.



　　crude oilTrend analysis


　　周初美油保守可选择暂观，规避当前行情处于震荡状态的不确定风险。且周一美盘休市，也会影响到原油的交投激进性，相对波动也就不会很大。日内技术点位上方可先关注109短压争夺，如果站上，则上方或有望再测111一线，且如果是收基本面影响，上方再测压113一线也是有可能的，下方则关注105-104.5短支撑，以及前期低点与日线级别区间下沿102-101.5Support.



　　操作上，周初保守选择观望，规避当前美油整体偏震荡的不确定风险期。激进则可围绕上述小区间109、111压力，与105-104.5支撑构筑的区间进行短线低多高空，如果走出区间，也莫要追单，具体策略有待实盘实时调整。