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Guide Metallographer:6.24今日黄金走势分析,黄金空头恐还会再创新低

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  goldMessage interpretation:

Thursday(6month23day),现货黄金重新走低,美元指数站稳104关口。美联储主席鲍威尔此前指出,即使会导致经济衰退,也要全力控制价格,这反映出金融市场担心美联储紧缩步伐将抑制经济增长。

  美联储将联邦基金利率上调75个基点——这是自1994年以来的最大单次升息幅度——至1.50%to1.75%区间。美联储主席鲍威尔和他的一些同事表示,美联储很可能需要在7月会议上延续这样的大幅加息。市场预计,美国联邦基金利率将在年底前升至3.4%。

  美联储陡峭的加息路径引发了市场对经济衰退和劳动力市场疲软的广泛担忧。但鲍威尔周三(6month22day)在美国参议院银行委员会作证时表示,美联储持续加息是适当的,具体速度取决于经济前景。

  鲍威尔甚至还强调,如果证明有必要,他拒绝排除单次加息100个基点,“不会放弃任何选项,官员们将采取一切必要措施来恢复价格稳定。过去一年,通胀明显上升,而且可能还会给大家带来进一步‘惊喜’。”

  鲍威尔指出,劳动力市场处于不可持续的过热状态,政策制定者需要灵活应对之后公布的数据。周三早些时候,费城联储主席哈克也表示,未来公布的数据将决定美联储决策选项。

  澳大利亚老虎证券首席策略师Michael McCarthy说:“鲍威尔隔夜指出,一次性加息1%的可能性确实存在,这提醒人们必须注意利率上升对金价的持续压力。”

Technical analysis of gold:

Yesterday's low rebound of gold did not change the volatility, and the daily line followed a downward trend to recover and close positive. The overall operation is still within the range, with no obvious signs of unilateral breakthroughs. In the short term, it will still fall into a repeated tug of war, but temporarily in a downward trend of consolidation and correction. In terms of technical structure, the daily line is still fluctuating and slightly downward, but the short term is circuitous and repetitive.4After a negative drop of hours earlier, the single positive rose rapidly yesterday, but the closing was still unstable. The next day, there was still a slight rebound in the opening and a return to the east1836Oscillating operation below, rebound not closing high, lack of continuity, combined withKThe line structure and back and forth sawing are the main style, not the beginning of unilateral direction. In the short term, it may continue to maintain this wide range of oscillation sawing, with operations mainly focused on ultra short lines. The interval checkpoint is crucial. In summary, the guidelines for today's operation of gold suggest that the gold industry should focus on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by a pullback from low altitudes, with a focus on the above1848-1853Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1815-1820Frontline support.

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