Guo Shengshan:6.21晚间黄金走势分析，原油最新独家策略

　　goldLatest Market Analysis

Analysis of Gold News: Monday(6month20day)，现货黄金承压，尽管美元指数在淡静的市场中回落调整，但并未给金市带来利好，市场维持对美联储将加大鹰派力度的预期。美联储主席鲍威尔将于本周三和周四分别在参议院和众议院作证。值得注意的是，鲍威尔将面临一项艰巨的任务：既要承认经济面临潜在衰退的困境，又要证明最近一次加息75个基点的合理性，美联储传递的信息再清楚不过了，在追求就业最大化的同时，美联储不得不对抗近40年未见的物价上行压力。美联储愿意冒着经济下滑的风险，以避免通胀失控，因此美元将重新获得魔力，以此黄金收到压制。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金近期围绕美联储加息也是超幅过山车巨震，首先下探1825Strong pull up after low position1878Then it rose and fell back to break through1825Starting point to1805Be able to stop the decline. It seems that gold is expected to fall below1800The benchmark continued to decline, but the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike led to a trend of buying expectations and selling facts, and bulls took the opportunity to return1860Near the checkpoint. The recent market rhythm has not been very regular, and the continuity of long and short positions is poor. It is in a period of ups and downs, and then it fell back to the end of the week under pressure1833low point. At present, the daily line is at a low level of volatility, and the Bollinger three tracks are running flat, with no clear direction for bullish and bearish positions. It can only be said to touch1805Welcome to a continuous positive rebound, representing1800There is a large amount of buying support near Daguan, and1850Above, there is also selling pressure. And Li Jingu has been saying recently that the top of the monthly line has risen and fallen, and after the inverted hammer line, it has closed two consecutive Yin, laying the foundation for6If there is a bearish trend in the month, then this month's bearish trend will suppress the bullish rebound, which is a trend of rising and falling.

From the golden hour chart, it can be seen that last Friday's gold price fluctuated and corrected, forming a short-term downward correction channel. Currently, the downward trend has only run for two waves, and it is expected that there may be another wave of retreat adjustment within the day. Please pay attention below1833-30、1826/25Short support test nearby, can be followed above1845Nearby short pressure, main pressure depends on1848-50一带压力测试，因周一美盘休市，交易相对会清淡一些，预期日内黄金震荡空间不会很大，大致看此区间内震荡运行即可，如果行情走出此区间，则再根据实际运行状态再做分析调整。周一黄金暂作区间内短线低多高空，预期在美盘休市的情况下，行情交投会清淡许多，故实际操作上也适度减少参与频率和仓位，以规避交投清淡带来的控盘风险。综上所述郭晟衫总结：黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1852-1857Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1825Frontline support.

　　crude oilMessage and technical aspects:

Message: Tuesday(6month21day)，国际油价上涨，收复上周部分跌幅，因为投资者关注原油和燃料产品供应紧张，而不是担心经济衰退会抑制未来需求。美国试图与盟国对俄罗斯石油实施价格限制。北京时间16:24，NYMEXcrude oilfuturesrise1.54%to110.44dollar/Barrel;ICEBrent crude oil futures up1.42%to115.75dollar/桶。周三2:30 NYMEXNew York crude oil7月期货受移仓换月影响，6month22day2:30Complete the final trading on the floor in the early morning5:00Complete the final transaction of the electronic disk, please pay attention to the risk control of the announcement of changing months at the expiration of the trading venue. In addition, some trading platforms typically have shorter expiration times for contracts with American oil companiesNYMEX官方提前一天，请多加留意。

　　技术面：日线级别：震荡上涨后回调；MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，在收复布林线中轨112.53前，短期风险仍然是下行风险，然后恢复波林线中线112.53，周五低位106.40附近的最初支撑，如果失去，或会进一步跌向布林线下轨103.30附近，甚至是5month19Daily low point100.66附近。但是，油价连续两天在106.40附近有支撑，55日移动均线附近有支撑位置，周一也录得交叉，需谨防油价回归反弹的可能性，初步阻力位在5Daily moving average111.09附近，布林线中轨阻力112.53附近，若能突破阻力位，增加短期看多信号。

　　WTI多空转折点：109.0dollar/bucket

　　策略参考：多单建议109.0dollar/桶附近做多原油，目标看至111.0-112.5dollar/桶。空单建议112.5dollar/盎司附近做空黄金，目标看至109and106.8dollar/Bucket.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.