Yu Yue on Jin:6.6加息预期或压制黄金，黄金走势分析及操作...

　goldLatest market analysis:



Analysis of Gold News: Monday（6month6日）亚欧时段，现货黄金震荡微涨，目前交投于1854.13dollar/盎司附近，上周五美国非农就业报告表现强劲，强化了美联储继续激进加息的预期，给美元提供支撑，令金价承压明显；地缘局势仍给金价提供一些支撑，散户仍然普遍看涨后市，但分析师的看涨情绪明显降温。美联储官员也继续强化积极加息的预期，本周还将迎来澳洲联储和欧洲央行的利率决议，市场普遍预计澳洲联储会加息25个基点，欧洲央行料将为7月份加息做好铺垫工作，可能会对金价不利。本交易日并未重磅经济数据出炉，投资者需要关注非农数据的影响发酵和地缘局势的相关消息。



　　黄金技术面分析：上周非农黄金先涨后跌，特别是上涨延续变盘，周五非农下跌延续变盘，形成震荡区间，整体没有走出1874，1830The overall environment, therefore, in the near future, gold has been6Before the news of monthly interest rate hikes, it is difficult to make significant progress. It is expected that the trend of gold this week will still fluctuate within a certain range. The trend of gold is relatively clear, with each cycle showing a closing performance and not showing significant fluctuations. Trading should focus on small cycle changes. Currently, the technical performance that can be seen is still volatile. Last week, gold formed a top decline after a consecutive positive day, with daily closing. There is no continuity between long and short during the Yin Yang transition. Therefore, This week's daily chart does not emphasize the single day's ups and downs. If the daily chart continues to be positive, the duration of the rise will be seen, while if the daily chart continues to be negative, the duration of the decline will be seen, maintaining an upper and lower range.



Gold currently4Houbulin also showed a closing performance, with prices temporarily near the Bullin mid track, with equal upward and downward space, and no absolute strength trend. However, in last Friday's decline,kThe line moves under the pressure of the moving average, resulting in a weak shock. Therefore, on the whole, the Golden Week was short at the beginning. From the perspective of shock decline, it is expected that this week will be the trend of first falling and then rising, and the rising space will be seen after the short runs. The interval is no longer emphasized, wait for the cycle to change before making new judgments. In the early morning trading of small cycles, gold will have a slight rebound in volatility, and will be suppressed within the day1858Nearby, waiting for a rebound and short selling, European and American markets continue to decline with visible strength1840，1838At the beginning of the week, it is difficult to break out of the sharp decline, but be careful if the European market stabilizes1858On top of that, then it was slightly stronger at the beginning of the week, so pay attention to Monday's1858Gains and losses of strengths and weaknesses. Expected to cycle down to1830再看强弱转换。综合来看，今日黄金操作思路上建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1845-1840Frontline support.





　crude oilTrend analysis



Crude oil daily level fluctuations;MACD金叉向上趋势，KDJ金叉运行，油价此前在120整数关口附近遇阻后回落，刚好给到382level115.2一线快速上涨，再次收复失地，日线收录大阳线，符合预期。四小时级别显示，原油昨日破低之后快速拉起，从内部结构看：油价快速拉起预示着三波下跌结构结束，当下跌浪结束后，迎来了多头的连续发力。综上所总结：原油上周五低开高走，上破阻力，很显然多头强势，所以原油今日操作思路上建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注122.5-123.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below118.8-118.3Frontline support.