Yu Yue on Jin:6.6Expectation of interest rate hike or suppression of gold, analysis and operation of gold trend...

　goldLatest market analysis:



Analysis of Gold News: Monday（6month6During the Asia Europe session, spot gold fluctuated slightly higher and is currently trading in1854.13dollar/Near the ounce, the strong performance of the US non farm payroll report last Friday strengthened expectations of the Federal Reserve continuing to aggressively raise interest rates, providing support for the US dollar and putting significant pressure on gold prices; The geopolitical situation still provides some support for gold prices, and retail investors are generally bullish in the future, but analysts' bullish sentiment has significantly cooled down. Federal Reserve officials also continue to strengthen their expectations of actively raising interest rates, and this week will also see interest rate decisions from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the European Central Bank. The market generally expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates25A basis point, the European Central Bank is expected to7Preparing for a monthly interest rate hike may be detrimental to gold prices. There were no major economic data released on this trading day, and investors need to pay attention to the impact of non farm data fermentation and related news on the geopolitical situation.



　　黄金技术面分析：上周非农黄金先涨后跌，特别是上涨延续变盘，周五非农下跌延续变盘，形成震荡区间，整体没有走出1874，1830The overall environment, therefore, in the near future, gold has been6Before the news of monthly interest rate hikes, it is difficult to make significant progress. It is expected that the trend of gold this week will still fluctuate within a certain range. The trend of gold is relatively clear, with each cycle showing a closing performance and not showing significant fluctuations. Trading should focus on small cycle changes. Currently, the technical performance that can be seen is still volatile. Last week, gold formed a top decline after a consecutive positive day, with daily closing. There is no continuity between long and short during the Yin Yang transition. Therefore, This week's daily chart does not emphasize the single day's ups and downs. If the daily chart continues to be positive, the duration of the rise will be seen, while if the daily chart continues to be negative, the duration of the decline will be seen, maintaining an upper and lower range.



Gold currently4Houbulin also showed a closing performance, with prices temporarily near the Bullin mid track, with equal upward and downward space, and no absolute strength trend. However, in last Friday's decline,kThe line moves under the pressure of the moving average, resulting in a weak shock. Therefore, on the whole, the Golden Week was short at the beginning. From the perspective of shock decline, it is expected that this week will be the trend of first falling and then rising, and the rising space will be seen after the short runs. The interval is no longer emphasized, wait for the cycle to change before making new judgments. In the early morning trading of small cycles, gold will have a slight rebound in volatility, and will be suppressed within the day1858Nearby, waiting for a rebound and short selling, European and American markets continue to decline with visible strength1840，1838At the beginning of the week, it is difficult to break out of the sharp decline, but be careful if the European market stabilizes1858On top of that, then it was slightly stronger at the beginning of the week, so pay attention to Monday's1858Gains and losses of strengths and weaknesses. Expected to cycle down to1830Let's take a closer look at the transition between strength and weakness. Overall, the recommended approach for gold trading today is to focus on rebounding at high levels, with long positions as a supplement, and short-term attention above1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1845-1840Frontline support.





　crude oilTrend analysis



Crude oil daily level fluctuations;MACDThe golden fork is trending upwards,KDJGolden fork operation, oil prices were previously120After encountering resistance near the integer level, it fell back and just gave in382level115.2The first line rose rapidly, regaining lost ground again, and the daily chart included the bullish line, which is in line with expectations. According to the 4-hour level display, crude oil quickly rose after breaking through the low yesterday. From an internal structure perspective, the rapid rise in oil prices indicates the end of the three wave downward structure. When the downward wave ends, there will be continuous bullish momentum. In summary, crude oil opened low and rose high last Friday, breaking resistance and indicating strong bullish sentiment. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on long positions with retracement as the main strategy for today's crude oil operations, supplemented by high rebounds. Short term attention should be paid to the upper levels122.5-123.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below118.8-118.3Frontline support.