Yu Yue on Jin:5.16黄金还会跌吗？黄金价格走势分析独家操作...

　goldTrend analysis:



Analysis of Gold News: Friday(5month13day)Gold prices fell and closed at2month4The lowest level since the beginning of the day, and this week is the consecutive fourth4The week fell as the soaring US dollar offset the attractiveness of gold as an inflation hedge. In late US trading, spot gold closed higher1811.41element/Ounces, down10.22USD or0.56%The highest daily hit1828.71dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1798.97dollar/ounce. This week, spot gold fell71.52USD or3.80%, for2021year6The worst weekly performance since mid month. Analysts say that gold prices are currently at1800Around the US dollar, there may be greater selling risk. The gold price fell below on Thursday1830After the support level of the US dollar, it was dragged down by technical selling pressure. The rise of the US dollar and the release of higher than expected inflation data from the United States have also put pressure on the precious metal due to market expectations that the Federal Reserve will take aggressive measures.



　　技术面，黄金昨日再次破位于30一线后刺破到10附近，而日内反抽于28附近后继续回撤，也再次刷新了低点并且触及到98附近，短线内空头的能量也再次释放，从本波段下跌以来，跌幅也达200美金左右，这也让空头为之着迷，后期黄金的空头趋势也很有可能继续打开，则中期空头的思路仍然不变，下方的第一目标已经到位，而第二目标将有可能维持于1770-1760附近左右，在空头再次释放的同时，也给了多头的二次反攻的机会，则目前黄金再触及到1799一线后开始反抽于1818左右，则此位置也是后期继续布局空单的点位之一，而上方的重点压力则维持于1820一线，短线内将维持于此位置附近继续布局高空为主，合适的机会可以低多做短线；

Golden Operation Concept: Suggestions1806不破做多，破位1818see1835-45，1818附近做空看下跌力度。



　crude oilTrend analysis:



　　5month13日，受强势美元所累，因市场预期美联储货币政策会大幅收紧。美油大涨近4%，尾盘收报110.16dollar/桶，随着俄罗斯柴油出口大幅下滑，全球成品油短缺继续推高燃油价格，美国加油站汽油和柴油价格周五分别升至每加仑4.43USD and5.56美元的纪录高位，上周汽油库存连续第六周下降；这推动汽油裂解价升至自2020year4月创纪录以来的最高水平，当时美国原油futures收于负值区间。在美国夏季驾车高峰季即将到来之际，美国燃油库存下降意味着消费者面临的局势难以好转。美国汽油期货目前比原油价格高出每桶55美元，为多年来最大价差。有分析师表示，美国汽油库存自3月以来一直没有增加，他指出，在美国从阵亡将士纪念日假期周末开始进入驾车出行季后，汽油需求将攀升。如果欧盟全面实施石油禁运，可能令俄罗斯石油产量减少约30010000 barrels/日，这将彻底扰乱并最终改变全球贸易流，引发市场恐慌和价格极端波动。



　　技术面，日线大阳收高吞没小阴KThe short-term and short-term fluctuations have returned to the range, and the continuity of the two yin and one yang is insufficient. It has not yet left the unilateral trend.4小时图一波低位连阳收复近半失地。下跌快收复也快，拉锯震荡的节奏。多空反转快，要关键临界点的得失。一旦失守强弱临界点，就会改变即定的节奏，综上所述，上周原油先跌后涨，出现了VReversal pattern, strong bulls, focus this week111.32Break situation, and then114.2美元阻力，下周一操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，上方关注114.2-118.2USD resistance, follow below108.1-107.7dollar/Bucket.