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12month2日美原油期货日内策略

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Futures marketgold策略:外盘futures|12month2日美crude oil期货日内策略分析
今日重要财经数据及事件
    [li]09:45  China11Yuecai New Manufacturing IndustryPMIFinal value[/li][li]15:30  Switzerland10Monthly actual retail sales annual rate[/li][li]16:50  France11Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value[/li][li]16:55  Germany11Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value[/li][li]17:00  eurozone11Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value[/li][li]17:30  britain11Monthly manufacturing industryPMI[/li][li]22:45  U.S.A11monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value[/li][li]23:00  U.S.A10月营建支出月率、美国11monthISMmanufacturingPMI[/li]
12month2日美原油期货日内策略326 / author:lsl3031 / PostsID:1517973

美原油消息面:Last Friday(11month29day)油价创9month17日以来最大跌幅,美油最深跌幅达到5.32%;布油最深跌逾4%。截止收盘,布伦特原油期货收跌1.44USD, decline2.25%Report62.43dollar/Barrel;WTI 1Monthly crude oil futures closed lower2.94USD, decline5.06%Report55.17dollar/桶。因有迹象显示OPEC+下周开会时不愿加大减产力度;美国能源信息署(EIA)公布的月度报告称,美国9月原油日产量从8Of1239.7万桶升至创纪录的1246万桶,也令油价承压。
有分析师指出,由于感恩节假期后期货交易清淡,成交量低于正常水准,这一情况可能增加了价格大幅波动的可能性,且月度原油合约接近尾声,交易商倾向于平仓。CMC Market分析师认为,能源交易员出于对全球贸易局势的担忧,正在采取预防措施,部分交易商正在退出石油市场,也影响了原油行情的走势。
本周的欧佩克大会是油市一年两度的盛世,加之上周市场的减产预期曾出现剧烈波动,本周的大会及油价会怎么发展显得扑朔迷离。除了欧佩克大会带来的不确定性,美国原油的相关数据和全球经贸形势的新进展也值得关注。据国际能源署上周公布的数据显示,美国9月原油产量上升至创纪录的124610000 barrels/Day.
美原油技术面:美原油日线上看,布林带缩口微幅朝下运行,MA5/MA10均线拐头下行转为死叉,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA40Near the moving average,MACD快慢线交死叉下行绿色动能逐步放量,KDJ三线呈死叉向下发散运行,日线上来看行情表现一定的偏空形态;4小时图上,布林带大幅开口运行,MA5AndMA10The moving average intersects with a strong downward trend,KThe line intersects below the Bollinger track,MACD快慢线呈死叉开口向下,绿色动能大幅放量,KDJ三线呈死叉向右走平,油价短线行情偏空,大跌后有一定的反弹势能。
综合来看,日内操作上建议反弹高空为主。上方初步阻力在56.90,近一步阻力在57.50; Preliminary support below55.60Further support on55.00。
US crude oil(01合约)交易策略
1Above56.9附近短线做空,止损0.5, Objective55.6-55.7Nearby;
2Below55.6-55.7Long nearby, stop loss0.3, Objective56.4/56.9Nearby;
阅读须知:投资有风险,交易需谨慎。本分析由期市黄金策略提供,分析仅供参考,不做为下单的最终依据。

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