Shan Chenjin:6.12特金会起波澜？黄金后市怎么操作？

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Shan Chenjin:6.12特金会起波澜？gold后市怎么操作？


today(6month12day)亚洲交易时段稍早，现货黄金继续交投在1300美元关口附近，目前已经交投在20日均线上方，走势正等待催化因素。本周可谓是交易市场的“世界杯”，今日三件大事即将开启“超级周”的帷幕：美朝峰会、美国CPI、英国将向下议院提交脱欧法案！

Federal Open Market Committee(FOMC)会议将是本周的主要焦点，不过与预期中的加息相比，更多的注意力将放在经济和金融预测上，目前市场人士普遍预期，美联储将在6月会议上实施本轮加息周期的第七次加息举措。任何市场反应都更有可能与改变对未来政策的预期有关，那么周二的消费者通胀数据、周四的零售销售数据以及周五的通胀预期数据，都将有助于深入了解潜在的经济状况，这些经济状况可能会重塑人们对美联储今年晚些时候政策的预期。同时我们也应该为欧洲央行会议上的任何意外做好准备，因为近期美元如此强势的一个原因就是利差，所以如果欧银联和日央行能够释放出更加积极的信号的话，美元或许将结束回调重新走跌。


技术上，黄金继续窄幅整理，但是2016年以来上行趋势线（现位于1290）以及水平支撑1294等的支持作用连续得到确认，因此相对而言金价向上波动的阻碍会更小一些。若符合预期走强，上方阻力关注1305as well as1308等阻力，特别是1308最为关键，因为只有后续有效突破该关键阻力才能打开较大的上涨空间。当然，如果出现下破1290的下跌，则走势前景将转向看跌，进一步下跌将指向1280等水平。


后市需关注两个区间，第一个是小区间1303-1294，第二个是大区间1308-1290；黄金操作上建议以高抛低吸配合破位跟进为主。日内反弹1300-1302附近还是空，上方阻力1306-1308Take a look below1297-1295。多单可能受到特金会的冲击，建议暂时关注下方1294一线的阻力，待有效反抽再介入多单，具体的实盘中提示。另外，止损的必要性也越来越重，很多行情的突破都是偶然事件的发生，而很多套单就是在意外的大意当中促成。所以，当价格横盘的周期越长，你就越需要注意止损的必要性，因为它突破的概率越大。


如何能以交易为生？


如何能以交易为生，那么首先需要了解市场，市场的本质是什么？市场就是一大群人，他们遍布于世界五大洲，由现代的通讯设备整合在一起，每个人都希望通过别人的亏损来实现自己的获利！市场中的每个人都是敌手！而刚进入市场的投资者如果没有万分的准备，必然是遗憾离场，部分苦苦支撑盲目的找方法学技术咨询老师，最终依然还是亏损！


So why is this happening? Is the road to profitability really so difficult? It has to be said that the fact is so! Profit making techniques and analysis only account for some of the reasons, while human weaknesses are the majority of the reasons. Execution cannot keep up, loss orders are constantly carried, profits cannot be seen shrinking, profit and loss orders cannot be held, heavy positions, frequent operations, in short, it still depends on mentality! Always remember one sentence, talent is the biggest source of risk, and the person who should be most careful is always oneself! The mentality of luck is often the source of significant losses!


如何才能稳定收益，稳中求胜？


Some fundamental factors must be overcome by profit makers, and every step is a watershed; From the moment you enter this market, don't expect to become rich overnight. Good fund management and trading habits are crucial, and maintaining a fixed position is still the key; A small profitable position and a large losing position will ultimately result in a loss! And if fixed cannot make a profit, then it is a matter of probability and success rate!

Trading indicates the beginning of boredom, which is normal. We are not trading for excitement, trading for excitement can only be a way to stay away from this market. Accepting boredom is also a part of successful trading! If you decide on your own trade, then strictly execute it. In the trend, follow the trend and buy high and buy low in the range. Watch more and move less. Also, don't speculate because of the price, think that the price has dropped enough and buy, and don't short sell because the price has risen sharply. Define the trading signal, which is also the only reason for execution! The rest involves emotions, don't let emotions interfere with your operational decisions!

交易过程中大家常见的一个误区和现象：长时间整理行情中大家都喜欢追涨杀跌，因为渴望出趋势行情，毕竟整理行情的反复洗盘多空强弱不延续不容易跟随操作。大家更期望行情突破出趋势，好一展身手，但是往往行情关键位置虚破不延续，大阳大阴无意义，所以追涨杀跌的后果就是做多到最高点，做空到最低点，处处被动。而真正趋势行情出来的时候，大多交易者又开始猜顶猜底，怀疑趋势，不敢去跟随趋势。又是多空都想吃的逆势操作,这样的交易思路或许偶尔侥幸盈利，但多数是都是悲剧收场。


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.