长夜点金：反思做单不断亏损的原因

　　今天不说行情，我们谈谈亏损，虽是很多朋友都不想直面的一个问题，但我有必要在这里做一个提醒，因为，近期找景文咨询的朋友是在是太多。一个普遍的现象都是遭遇亏损的，只是程度不同。那么这时候是不是该暂时停下盲目的做单呢？市场每天都在走，永不止息，还愁没机会做单？其实，对很多人来说，或许进入“交易”领域是因为这是一个能赚大钱的买卖。交易有五个阶段，但是很多小白却已止步于第一阶段，究竟你不断的经历亏损是为什么？

There are five stages of trading, and the difficulty and goal of each stage is to enter the next stage.

　　第一阶段：不知其不可也

　　这是你开始交易的第一个阶段。由于耳闻了投资中的盈利，你知道“交易”是一个能赚大钱的买卖。不幸的是，这就像是你准备学开车，“多容易呀！”，但你一旦开始就知道有多难了。价格不是上就是下，这背后蕴藏着什么内幕吗？“我来破解它吧！”

Unfortunately, just like sitting in front of the steering wheel for the first time, you quickly realize that you don't know how to start. You are constantly trading and taking on numerous risks. Sometimes as soon as you enter the market, the market runs in the opposite direction, and then you go back and place orders. "Ah! Why did it go in the opposite direction again?" If you turn back again...Further backhand...Further backhand...

　　可能你一开始还做得很好，不过这更糟。因为，这告诉你的大脑：“交易太简单了”，然后你开始“随心所欲”了。出现亏损时，你就尝试加倍去做，就像输了一块下次就来两块。有时，你侥幸地赢了回来，但更多的时间却是损手烂脚。这时，你已经完全忘记你对“交易”还是一个新手。这个阶段通常会持续一到两个星期，时光易逝，很快你就进入到第二个阶段。

　　第二阶段：知其不可也

　　在这个阶段，你认识到要更好地交易赚钱还有些工作要做，“嗯，我还要再做点功课”。你意识到你还是一个不合格的交易员，“我还缺少真正可以赚钱的技术。”于是你开始在图表里设置各种“交易系统”，读了一堆电子书，到处浏览网页，连美国到乌克兰的网站都给你看过了。这时，你开始探索一套自己的“必杀技”。

　　你变成了一个“系统交易狂”，天天、周周地从这个技巧到那个技巧地试，不过，你却从未花足够多的时间去检验这个系统是否真正可行。每次你得到一个新的行情指标你就会欣喜若狂，“这个行情指标完全不同呀！”

You willTraderAll the automated trading systems in the game have been tested, and you have started playing with moving averages, Fibonacci lines, and support resistance linesMACD、KDJ...弄了几百种行情指标，梦想着你的“魔法系统”今天就可以诞生。你成了一个“抄底摸顶”的交易员，用你的行情指标去找市场反转的精确点位。尽管你发现你还在输钱，但你还是坚持不懈地“找找找”，因为你坚信你的做法是正确的。

　　你开始跑去聊天室、论坛，你看到有些交易员可以赚钱，你很想知道“那为什么不是我？”。你会问很多很多问题，有些问题你事后想起来觉得还有点笨。你很快成为了一个怀疑论者，“那些喊做单的家伙都是骗子”，他们不可能赚那么多，因为你也已经“学了”，但是你却做不到，“嗯，他们是骗子，是托儿”。不过，他们天天在那里而且帐户在增长，而你却还在经历失败。

This stage may last for several years, in fact, in real-life conversations, it is found that this stage will last at least for several years1Year, generally close to3Years of time. After countless setbacks, it is usually easiest for you to give up on trading at this stage.

　　第三阶段：顿悟

　　在第二个阶段的后期，你开始认识到不是“交易系统”导致不同的结果。你意识到其实可能一条简单的移动平均线就可以赚钱了，只要你的态度和资金管理正确的话。你开始读一些交易心理学方面的书，将书里描绘的角色跟自己进行对号入座。然后，“顿悟”就出现了。

"Enlightenment" seems to connect the two tendons in your mind. You suddenly realize that it's not just you, but everyone can't accurately predict the next one10How will the second market go, not to mention the next one20分钟了。因为这个新发现，你停止去重视其他人在想什么了，“主力”在这个数据公布后将怎么搞，那个事件会导致什么变化，你成为了一个按照自己交易技巧交易的“独立人”。

　　开始用你的这把“快刀”来做单，抓住每一个可能赚钱的好机会。当头寸变坏时，你也不生气了，甚至会觉得“这不是我的错，我不可能预测市场”。当你觉得你的头寸不好时，你只是简单地平仓了事。下一次、再下一次或者再下下一次将会有越来越高的成功可能，因为你知道你的交易系统是可行的。

You stop looking at the trading results from the perspective of one transaction per transaction, and start looking at the trading reports from a weekly perspective. "Well, a bad transaction is not caused by a poor trading system." You finally realize that a "trading game" is doing something: continuously using your "fast knife" and following your own trading discipline, regardless of your preferences.

　　第四阶段：知其可为也

　　交易系统告诉你什么，就做什么。接受亏损就像你接受赚钱一样，现在会让你的赚钱单放飞了。接受“亏损”和知道你的交易系统将会带来比损失更多的赚钱，当出现亏损单时，你随手就平仓了，“这只不过是给我的帐户带来些微的阵痛而已”。

Most of the time, you are in a breakeven tug of war, winning today and losing tomorrow, and sometimes winning this week100A point, then lose next week100个点，通常你都是处于盈亏平衡状态而不会亏大钱。这时你知道你总的来说应该算是“好的交易员”了，而且你开始获得论坛的其他人的尊敬。你仍然在继续研究和思考你的交易，但在这个过程中，你的赚钱已经持续地多于亏损。

On this day, you won from the beginning20Point, but later lost35点，但你对这种回吐已经完全没有什么感觉了，因为你知道他们又会回来的。你开始每周持续地赚钱了，这周赚25Point, next week50spot......This stage will continue6Months.

　　第五阶段：止于至善

We're starting to do real big business now,1天赚钱200点，不过不会比赚钱1Point is even more exciting. When you see beginners shouting "Money! Money!" on the forum, just like how they won a Grand Slam on a good horse, you seem to see yourself, but this is already yourself from a few years ago.

At this point, you have entered the utopian realm of trading, where you can control your emotions, and you are a true "trader", a trader who is constantly striving for success. Trading has become less exciting now, in fact, you still feel a bit bored. Just like everything else in the world, even if you do it well, you have to continue doing it. "It's a bit boring at first, but this is just working for yourself. Really, that's it."

Please remember, only5%People can truly reach the fifth stage, but the reason is not a matter of ability, but rather the ability to persist, but the ability to change their past experiences when new things emerge. The losers are some people who want to "get rich overnight". It's not wrong to have such thoughts, but they only enter the market for a limited period of time6They put on a pair of colored glasses after a month, so they can't see the essence of things. Their catchphrase is "this is what I see, that is the pattern I discover." They refuse to absorb new things and refuse to change their ignorance.

　　本文由长夜点金（微信cydj688)分析师独家供稿，转载请注明出处。网络发布存在延迟，盘中行情多变，更多行情实盘给出。如果有套单锁单的朋友，具体操作联系甘果论金，读者应详细了解所有相关投资风险，风险自担。