God! There is no holy grail in trading!

Ask any quantitative analysis expert on Wall Street(Those super annoying PhD students in mathematics or science who have established complex algorithmic trading strategies)Why can't you always make a profit100%The 'Holy Grail like' indicator, method, or system.

He or she will give the following reasons:

1.You cannot predict the future.

Is there any way to know what the central bank governor will say in his speech? Or do you know what super famous investors or hedge fund managers would say in casual TV interviews?

Do you know when the next terrorist attack that brings risk aversion will be?

What about natural disasters such as earthquakes or tsunamis?

The list of catalysts for unpredictable market changes is infinite, and when they occur, they will shake the market and your system.

You should know that this is part of the transaction, all you can do is prepare yourself.

Be prepared to deal with the changes in your world. What we said may be different from what you think.

2.Data cannot change the market. People can.

Inconsistencies between data and market themes and price fluctuations occur from time to time.

Why is that?

Perhaps the results were reflected in the price in advance? Perhaps traders did not pay attention to the published data? Perhaps some institutions have closed a large number of positions, and their closing transactions happen to be in the opposite direction of market changes?

Will all participants in the market react the same to unknown catalysts?

Regardless of price behavior, traders' decisions to take action are not always logical or consistent with external news.

When you hold thousands of different goals/When considering market participants with different sizes of trading accounts and strategies, it is impossible to predict the overall market trend every time.

You cannot completely avoid risks by quantifying or calculating human behavior through elegant mathematical equations.

There is always a certain degree of uncertainty, and sometimes you may be on the opposite side of market changes.

In fact... many times, you will be on the opposite side of the market changes.

Perfectionists should stay away from here.

For those who want to be right forever, we must warn you now

No one can predict the market perfectly every time.

no one.

If you stubbornly refuse to listen to advice and insist on searching for the so-called Holy Grail, then there is no hope.

There is a rumor that if you see a pink unicorn under a rainbow, you will encounter an invisible fairy who will give you the Holy Grail. Good luck.